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Al-Hazm crestAl-Hazm
v
Al-Fateh crestAl-Fateh

Pro League | Thu 15 Oct, 16:15

Al-Hazm v Al-Fateh Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Hazm face Al-Fateh in Pro League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:15. Al-Hazm come in with 6 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Al-Fateh have 2 points and 0.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Al-Hazm to Win

  • At 2.35, Al-Hazm to Win implies roughly 43%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • Al-Hazm have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Al-Fateh.
  • Al-Hazm have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Al-Hazm to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Al-Hazm sit 10 in the table, while Al-Fateh sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Al-Hazm to Win sits against roughly 43% implied by the current price. Al-Hazm have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Al-Fateh.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 43% implied
Strong positive
Al-Hazm have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Al-Hazm have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Al-Hazm Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Al-Hazm have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Al-Fateh. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Al-Hazm to Win evidence

Al-Hazm have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Al-Fateh.

Al-Hazm have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Al-Hazm Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Al-Hazm sit 10 in the table, while Al-Fateh sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Al-Hazm to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Al-Hazm0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Al-Fateh0.6
    Al-Hazm1
    Avg goals conceded
    Al-Fateh2
    Al-Hazm60%
    BTTS rate
    Al-Fateh40%
    Al-Hazm20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Al-Fateh60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.5 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 64%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAl-Hazm to WinBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Load more odds for this section
    Al-Hazm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Al-Hazm to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Al-Hazm

    DLWDD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 3L
    10 Oct 2026H NEOM1-1
    11 Sep 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah1-3
    08 Sep 2026H Al Taawon1-0
    05 Sep 2026A Al-Faisaly FC0-0
    30 Aug 2026H Al Shabab1-1

    Al-Fateh

    LLLDD
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 5L
    09 Oct 2026H Al-Ahli Jeddah0-4
    13 Sep 2026A NEOM2-4
    09 Sep 2026H Al Diriyah1-2
    05 Sep 2026A Al Taawon0-0
    29 Aug 2026H Al-Ittihad FC0-0
    Market aligned with main pickAl-Hazm to WinBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Al-Hazm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Al-Hazm Over 2.5
    60%Al-Fateh Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Al-Hazm sit at 20% and Al-Fateh sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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