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Leganes crestLeganes
v
Cordoba crestCordoba

Segunda División | Fri 16 Oct, 19:30

Leganes v Cordoba Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 08:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Segunda División fixture features Leganes hosting Cordoba in a contest where Cordoba's recent form and attacking intent stand out. Cordoba has earned six points in recent matches compared to Leganes' three, showing more offensive productivity with 1.4 goals per game versus Leganes' 0.6. Both teams have struggled defensively, but Cordoba's sharper attack and higher shot volume suggest they will push for a win. The match carries importance for both sides near the relegation zone, adding competitive urgency to Cordoba's away challenge.

BT4Y best bet

Cordoba to Win

  • Cordoba has a strong recent form edge with 6 points versus Leganes' 3.
  • Cordoba averages 1.4 goals per game, more than double Leganes' 0.6.
  • Cordoba's shot volume (15.4) and shots on target (5) surpass Leganes (13 and 3.6).
  • Cordoba's BTTS rate is 80%, indicating offensive threat and defensive vulnerability.
  • Cordoba ranks 18th with 9 points, just behind Leganes in 16th with 11 points, raising stakes for a win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cordoba to win with a 62.7% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking metrics. Cordoba's higher goals per game and shot statistics support their offensive edge, while Leganes' defensive frailties increase the likelihood of conceding. The price offers strong value given the implied chance is only 32.3%, making Cordoba a compelling underdog pick. is high at 88%, supported by consistent attacking players like Percan and V. Sanchez who contribute significantly to Cordoba's goal threat. No data limitations affect this assessment.

Model Chance47.3% model chance vs 32.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance47.3% model chance vs 32.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormCordoba leads with 6 points vs 3
Positive
Goals For per GameCordoba 1.4 vs Leganes 0.6
Strong positive
Shots on Target per GameCordoba 5 vs Leganes 3.6
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cordoba's offensive momentum and higher shot volume give them a tactical advantage over Leganes, who have struggled to score recently. Data confirms Cordoba's greater goal threat and recent form superiority, making their win a logical outcome in this tight relegation battle.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking strength and shot volume

“Cordoba's attacking players like Percan and V. Sanchez provide a clear offensive edge, supported by their higher shot and goal rates. Their ability to convert chances away from home is key in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Cordoba to Win evidence

Cordoba has a strong recent form edge with 6 points versus Leganes' 3.

Cordoba averages 1.4 goals per game, more than double Leganes' 0.6.

Cordoba's shot volume (15.4) and shots on target (5) surpass Leganes (13 and 3.6).

Cordoba's BTTS rate is 80%, indicating offensive threat and defensive vulnerability.

What To Watch In The Data

Cordoba to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Over 2.5 Goals has featured in 80% of Cordoba's games and 60% of Leganes'.
  • This trend suggests a high-tempo match with multiple goal-scoring chances, aligning with both teams' offensive and defensive profiles.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Leganes0.6
Avg goals scored
Cordoba1.4
Leganes2.6
Avg goals conceded
Cordoba2
Leganes20%
BTTS rate
Cordoba80%
Leganes60%
Over 2.5 goals
Cordoba80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Cordoba's high BTTS rate of 80% and Leganes' 60% Over 2.5 goals rate indicate a match prone to goals from both sides. The teams' defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent suggest a lively game with multiple scoring opportunities.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCordoba to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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Cordoba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 47.3% for Cordoba to Win sits against roughly 32.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cordoba have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Leganes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Leganes

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
11 Oct 2026A Almeria0-3
03 Oct 2026A Cadiz0-4
28 Sep 2026H Castellón0-2
20 Sep 2026H Granada CF3-2
13 Sep 2026A Tenerife0-2

Cordoba

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 6L
10 Oct 2026A Eldense1-2
05 Oct 2026H Tenerife3-2
27 Sep 2026A Valladolid1-3
18 Sep 2026A Albacete2-1
12 Sep 2026H Almeria0-2
Market aligned with main pickCordoba to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Cordoba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Cordoba's recent form is stronger, having secured 6 points in their last matches compared to Leganes' 3. Cordoba's improved goal scoring and defensive resilience in recent games underpin their and momentum heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Leganes Over 2.5
80%Cordoba Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Over 2.5 Goals has featured in 80% of Cordoba's games and 60% of Leganes'. This trend suggests a high-tempo match with multiple goal-scoring chances, aligning with both teams' offensive and defensive profiles.

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