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Ekstraklasa | Fri 16 Oct, 17:00

Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 14:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wieczysta Kraków face Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa on Fri 16 Oct, 17:00. Four consecutive away losses: Rakow's league travels have produced repeated defensive setbacks. Wieczysta Krakow and Rakow Czestochowa arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Wieczysta Kraków to win

  • At 11/10, Wieczysta Kraków to win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • A 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' defensive weaknesses and attacking strengths.
  • Wieczysta Kraków have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Raków Częstochowa.
  • Wieczysta Kraków have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Wieczysta Kraków to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Wieczysta Kraków sit 18 in the table, while Raków Częstochowa sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Wieczysta Kraków to win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Wieczysta Kraków have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Raków Częstochowa. A 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' defensive weaknesses and attacking strengths.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
Wieczysta Kraków have the stronger recent points return, taking 5.Visible data support
Positive
Wieczysta Kraków have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
A 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' defensive weaknesses.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Wieczysta Kraków Win is the preferred angle because a 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' defensive weaknesses and attacking strengths. Wieczysta Kraków have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Raków Częstochowa. However, the evidence also suggests Raków can register a goal of their own.

Main risk

However, the evidence also suggests Raków can register a goal of their own.

Key Data Signals

Wieczysta Kraków to win evidence

A 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' defensive weaknesses and attacking strengths.

Wieczysta Kraków have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Raków Częstochowa.

Wieczysta Kraków have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Wieczysta Kraków Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Wieczysta Kraków sit 18 in the table, while Raków Częstochowa sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Wieczysta Kraków to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Wieczysta Kraków1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Raków Częstochowa1.4
    Wieczysta Kraków1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Raków Częstochowa2.4
    Wieczysta Kraków60%
    BTTS rate
    Raków Częstochowa80%
    Wieczysta Kraków60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Raków Częstochowa80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 68% · edge +7.4 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 29%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Wieczysta Kraków and 80% for Raków Częstochowa, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +6.4 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Wieczysta Kraków to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Wieczysta Kraków

    LWDLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 6L
    12 Oct 2026A GKS Katowice1-2
    09 Oct 2026H Wisla Plock3-0
    18 Sep 2026A Widzew Łódź2-2
    13 Sep 2026A Pogon Szczecin0-2
    07 Sep 2026H Zaglebie Lubin1-1

    Raków Częstochowa

    LLLWL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 9L
    09 Oct 2026H GKS Katowice1-4
    19 Sep 2026A Korona Kielce2-3
    15 Sep 2026H Zaglebie Lubin2-3
    11 Sep 2026H Motor Lublin2-1
    06 Sep 2026A Lech Poznan0-1
    Market aligned with main pickWieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +6.4 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Wieczysta Kraków Over 2.5
    80%Raków Częstochowa Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Wieczysta Kraków sit at 60% and Raków Częstochowa sit at 80%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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