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Gent crestGent
v
Aarhus crestAarhus

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 15 Oct, 17:45

Gent v Aarhus Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 09:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gent face Aarhus in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 17:45. Gent come in with 9 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Aarhus have 0 points and - goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gent

WDDWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 0L
27 Aug 2026A Hibernian3-2
20 Aug 2026H Hibernian0-0
13 Aug 2026H IFK Goteborg1-1
06 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg1-0
30 Jul 2026H LNZ Cherkasy0-0

Aarhus

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Aarhus yet.

Best odds for this sectionAarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Gent to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Gent Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Aarhus to WinBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gent1
Avg goals scored
Aarhus-
Gent0.6
Avg goals conceded
Aarhus-
Gent40%
BTTS rate
Aarhus-
Gent20%
Over 2.5 goals
Aarhus-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 65% · edge +3.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Aarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Gent to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Gent Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Aarhus to WinBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 8.5 Corners is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Gent Over 2.5
-Aarhus Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals

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