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Çorum FK crestÇorum FK
v
Rizespor crestRizespor

Süper Lig | Fri 16 Oct, 18:00

Çorum FK v Rizespor Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 08:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Çorum FK and Rizespor meet in a Süper Lig fixture where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Çorum FK boasts a perfect over 2.5 goals record this season, averaging 2.8 goals scored and conceding 1.8 per match, while Rizespor has a more modest scoring rate but still concedes regularly. Both sides sit mid-table with equal points, adding competitive edge to this encounter. The match promises open play with potential for multiple goals given Çorum FK's offensive firepower and Rizespor's defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Çorum FK has scored 2.8 goals per game and concedes 1.8, with 100% matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Rizespor averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per match, with 60% over 2.5 games.
  • Çorum FK averages 13.4 shots per game with 6.4 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Rizespor also generates 14 shots per game but fewer on target (4.4), suggesting less finishing precision.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at 72.3% chance, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating strong value. Çorum FK's perfect over 2.5 record and high shot volume combined with Rizespor's defensive openness support a high-scoring game. Both teams' recent form and season stats align with an attacking encounter. No data limitations or price warnings reduce , making this a solid selection for goal markets.

Model Chance70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Çorum FK Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
Rizespor Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Shot Volume Çorum FK13.4 per game
Positive
Shot Volume Rizespor14 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Çorum FK's attacking midfielders and forwards pushing high volumes of shots, while Rizespor's defense may struggle to contain them. The data shows both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice for this fixture.

Main risk

However, their home performances remain a concern.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“Çorum FK's offensive dynamism combined with Rizespor's defensive vulnerabilities sets the stage for a lively, goal-filled match. The shot metrics and goal averages strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals as a compelling market.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Çorum FK has scored 2.8 goals per game and concedes 1.8, with 100% matches over 2.5 goals.

Rizespor averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per match, with 60% over 2.5 games.

Çorum FK averages 13.4 shots per game with 6.4 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Rizespor also generates 14 shots per game but fewer on target (4.4), suggesting less finishing precision.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In recent matches, Çorum FK has maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Rizespor's last ten games show a 60% rate.
  • The trend panel indicates a tempo favoring open play and goal opportunities, with both teams averaging high shot counts and goal involvement, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Çorum FK2.8
Avg goals scored
Rizespor1.2
Çorum FK1.8
Avg goals conceded
Rizespor1.4
Çorum FK60%
BTTS rate
Rizespor40%
Çorum FK100%
Over 2.5 goals
Rizespor60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Çorum FK's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS rate contrast with Rizespor's 60% over 2.5 and 40% BTTS, suggesting a match likely to feature multiple goals but with some uncertainty on both teams scoring. The goal averages and recent form support a high-scoring game with potential for both teams to find the net.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Çorum FK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Rizespor Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 70.6% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Çorum FK and 60% for Rizespor, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Çorum's potent attack and recent wins highlight their ability to outscore Rizespor, who have a strong unbeaten away record and scoring threat.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Çorum FK

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Gaziantep FK3-0
19 Sep 2026H Alanyaspor1-2
12 Sep 2026A Samsunspor5-1
06 Sep 2026H Eyüpspor3-0
31 Aug 2026A Beşiktaş2-6

Rizespor

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
10 Oct 2026H Fenerbahçe0-3
20 Sep 2026A Göztepe2-2
12 Sep 2026A Eyüpspor2-0
07 Sep 2026H Alanyaspor0-1
29 Aug 2026A Gaziantep FK2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 86% vs implied 77% · edge +8.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Çorum FK Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Rizespor Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Rizespor to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Çorum FK has accumulated 9 points with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, maintaining a perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Rizespor's 7 points and lower scoring rate of 1.2 goals per game still align with a 60% over 2.5 rate, indicating recent matches have featured multiple goals. This form data supports an expectation of an open, goal-rich encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Çorum FK Over 2.5
60%Rizespor Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches, Çorum FK has maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Rizespor's last ten games show a 60% rate. The trend panel indicates a tempo favoring open play and goal opportunities, with both teams averaging high shot counts and goal involvement, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich match.

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