San Marino
AlbaniaUEFA Nations League | Tue 29 Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania Stats
Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 14:25 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
San Marino face Albania in UEFA Nations League on Tue 29 Sep, 19:45. Both Teams To Score NO is a strong pick as San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings.
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings
- Price warning: current odds imply about 75%, above the 33% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
- At 1/3, As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings implies roughly 75%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
- Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
- San Marino show a 0% BTTS rate and Albania show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
- San Marino average 0 goals scored and Albania average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 75% while the model sits nearer 33% (-41.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +12.6 pts edge at 3.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 33% for As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings sits against roughly 75% implied by the current price. San Marino show a 0% BTTS rate and Albania show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score NO. San Marino show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Albania show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Rey Manaj gave Albania the lead after only four minutes, but goalkeeper Etrit Berisha’s dismissal in the 22nd minute transformed the contest.
Rey Manaj gave Albania the lead after only four minutes, but goalkeeper Etrit Berisha’s dismissal in the 22nd minute transformed the contest.
Key Data Signals
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings evidence
Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
San Marino show a 0% BTTS rate and Albania show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
San Marino average 0 goals scored and Albania average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.
What To Watch In The Data
As San Marino have failed to score in three Nations League matches and Albania have kept clean sheets in all five previous meetings notes
- Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
San Marino
Albania
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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