Racing Santander

Villarreal

La Liga | Sun 16 Aug, 16:00

Racing Santander v Villarreal Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 02:34 UK time

BT4Y lean · price warning

Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2

Price warning: current odds imply about 64%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
At 4/7, Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2 implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Price warning

Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 50% (-13.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Racing Santander to Win shows a +12.7 pts edge at 3.3.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2 sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 64% implied

Negative

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge -13.6 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. However, the visitors show clear defensive vulnerability that suits the home side's habits.

Main risk

However, the visitors show clear defensive vulnerability that suits the home side's habits.

Key Data Signals

Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2 evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

What To Watch In The Data

Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2 notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Racing Santander-

Avg goals scored

Villarreal-

Racing Santander-

Avg goals conceded

Villarreal-

Racing Santander-

BTTS rate

Villarreal-

Racing Santander-

Over 2.5 goals

Villarreal-

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 62% · edge -11.7 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 62% · edge -11.7 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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Racing Santander to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Villarreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

Check odds @ 2

Racing Santander Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Villarreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Racing Santander

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Racing Santander yet.

Villarreal

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Villarreal yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.2 pts

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

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Racing Santander to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Villarreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

Check odds @ 2

Racing Santander Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Villarreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Racing Santander wins

2Draws

1Villarreal wins

17 Dec 2025Racing Santander v Villarreal2-1

15 Apr 2012Villarreal v Racing Santander1-1

03 Dec 2011Racing Santander v Villarreal1-0

27 Feb 2011Racing Santander v Villarreal2-2

03 Oct 2010Villarreal v Racing Santander2-0

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 62% · edge -11.7 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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Racing Santander to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Villarreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

La Liga

Racing Santander5

Played

Villarreal5

Racing Santander1.8

Avg goals for

Villarreal1.4

Racing Santander1.8

Avg goals against

Villarreal2

Racing Santander0

Clean sheets

Villarreal0

Best odds for this sectionRacing Santander to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 30% · edge +12.7 pts

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

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Villarreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

Check odds @ 2

Racing Santander Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Villarreal to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Season data supports Racing Santander to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
10	Racing Santander	7	5	2	1	2	0
18	Villarreal	2	5	0	2	3	-3

Racing Santander sit in position 10, while Villarreal sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2 assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Racing Santander Over 2.5

-Villarreal Over 2.5

2.4H2H avg goals

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Racing Santander v Villarreal Stats

Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Racing Santander

Villarreal

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Racing Santander v Villarreal Stats

Racing Santander vs Villarreal 1-2

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Racing Santander

Villarreal

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

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