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Spartans crestSpartans
v
Annan Athletic crestAnnan Athletic

League Two | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Spartans v Annan Athletic Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Spartans host Annan Athletic in this League Two clash aiming to consolidate their strong start to the season. Spartans currently sit 4th with 15 points, showing solid attacking intent and a decent defensive record. Annan Athletic, placed 10th with 9 points, have struggled to find consistent form and have conceded more goals on average. Spartans' home advantage and recent momentum suggest they will look to control the game tactically, pressing high and exploiting defensive gaps. Annan Athletic may adopt a cautious approach, but Spartans' attacking edge and league position set the stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Spartans to Win

  • Spartans rank 4th with 15 points, showing stronger league form than 10th-placed Annan Athletic with 9 points.
  • Spartans average 1.6 goals scored per game versus Annan Athletic's 0.8, indicating superior attacking output.
  • Spartans have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting matches often feature multiple goals.
  • Annan Athletic concede 2.4 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent form shows Spartans earned 6 points compared to Annan Athletic's 3, reflecting better momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Spartans to win with a 64.7% chance, supported by their higher league standing, better recent form, and more effective attack. Spartans' ability to score 1.6 goals per game contrasts with Annan Athletic's lower offensive output and higher goals conceded. The 9.1% indicates the offer good value relative to the model's probability. No price warnings apply, and data quality is solid, reinforcing in Spartans' home advantage and tactical superiority for this fixture.

Model Chance64.7% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+9.1 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge64.7% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+9.1 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormSpartans 6 points vs Annan Athletic 3
Positive
Goals ForSpartans 1.6 vs Annan Athletic 0.8
Positive
Goals AgainstSpartans 1.8 vs Annan Athletic 2.4
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Spartans' superior league position and recent form provide a strong foundation for victory. Their more potent attack and home advantage should allow them to control the match tempo and create quality chances. Annan Athletic's defensive struggles increase the likelihood of Spartans capitalizing on opportunities to secure the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Spartans have demonstrated consistent attacking threat and defensive resilience, making them the clear favorites to claim three points here. Their ability to maintain pressure and convert chances should be decisive against an Annan Athletic side that has struggled for consistency.”

Key Data Signals

Spartans to Win evidence

Spartans rank 4th with 15 points, showing stronger league form than 10th-placed Annan Athletic with 9 points.

Spartans average 1.6 goals scored per game versus Annan Athletic's 0.8, indicating superior attacking output.

Spartans have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting matches often feature multiple goals.

Annan Athletic concede 2.4 goals per game on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Spartans to Win notes

  • In the last five meetings, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Spartans' higher Over 2.5 Goals rate of 60% compared to Annan Athletic's 40% suggests this match could see multiple goals, driven by Spartans' attacking intent and Annan Athletic's defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Spartans1.6
Avg goals scored
Annan Athletic0.8
Spartans1.8
Avg goals conceded
Annan Athletic2.4
Spartans40%
BTTS rate
Annan Athletic40%
Spartans60%
Over 2.5 goals
Annan Athletic40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 60% · edge +0.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams show differing attacking profiles, with Spartans averaging 1.6 goals per game and Annan Athletic 0.8. Spartans' 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate versus Annan Athletic's 40% suggests a moderate likelihood of multiple goals. Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, indicating matches may not always see both sides scoring, but Spartans' offensive edge could tilt the balance toward goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Spartans

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
17 Oct 2026H Stranraer0-2
10 Oct 2026A Edinburgh City3-1
03 Oct 2026H Kelty Hearts0-2
19 Sep 2026A Dumbarton0-3
12 Sep 2026H Forfar Athletic5-1

Annan Athletic

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 7L
17 Oct 2026A Clyde1-4
10 Oct 2026H Stranraer1-6
03 Oct 2026H Stirling Albion0-1
19 Sep 2026A Forfar Athletic0-1
12 Sep 2026H Elgin City2-0
Market aligned with main pickSpartans to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 56% · edge +9.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Spartans Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Spartans have collected 6 points recently, outperforming Annan Athletic's 3 points. This form difference reflects Spartans' ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity, while Annan Athletic have struggled to secure wins and have conceded more goals, indicating momentum favors Spartans.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more League Two analysisplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSpartans to WinBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 56% · edge +9.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Spartans Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 64.7% for Spartans to Win sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+9.1 pts). Spartans have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Annan Athletic.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Spartans Over 2.5
40%Annan Athletic Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last five meetings, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Spartans' higher Over 2.5 Goals rate of 60% compared to Annan Athletic's 40% suggests this match could see multiple goals, driven by Spartans' attacking intent and Annan Athletic's defensive lapses.

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