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Hamilton Academical crestHamilton Academical
v
Montrose crestMontrose

League One | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Hamilton Academical v Montrose Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hamilton Academical and Montrose meet in a crucial League One clash with both teams positioned near the top of the table, separated by just a few points. Hamilton Academical have shown strong attacking intent recently, boasting an 80% rate of matches with both teams scoring, while Montrose have been less consistent but still capable of finding the net. The fixture promises an open contest as both sides seek to maintain their promotion push, with Hamilton's solid defense facing a Montrose attack eager to improve their goal output. Tactical balance and recent form suggest goals at both ends are likely in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Hamilton Academical have an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals at both ends.
  • Montrose's BTTS rate is lower at 40%, but they have scored in recent matches.
  • The average goals per game in their last nine meetings is 2.67, supporting goal involvement from both sides.
  • Hamilton Academical rank 2nd with 32 points, Montrose 3rd with 19 points, highlighting competitive stakes.
  • Recent form shows Hamilton scoring 2 goals per game and conceding less than 1, while Montrose scores 1.2 but concedes 1.6 on average.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 73.3% chance for both teams to score, driven by Hamilton Academical's high BTTS rate of 80% and Montrose's ability to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities. The average goals in their recent head-to-head matches (2.67) and the attacking tendencies of both teams support this view. The price offers positive value with a 17.7% edge, reflecting the likelihood of an open game where both sides contribute offensively. This pick aligns well with the tactical and form indicators, making BTTS a compelling choice for this fixture.

Hamilton Academical BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Montrose BTTS Rate40%
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.67 goals per game
Positive
Model Probability70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown offensive capabilities that suggest goals at both ends are probable. Hamilton Academical's consistent scoring and Montrose's need to respond offensively create a dynamic where both sides are likely to find the net. The data supports this with a strong BTTS rate for Hamilton and a reasonable scoring record for Montrose, making the BTTS bet a tactically and statistically sound choice for this match.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“Hamilton Academical's attacking consistency combined with Montrose's occasional defensive lapses sets the stage for goals from both sides. This fixture's competitive nature and recent scoring trends make BTTS a logical and attractive betting angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Hamilton Academical have an 80% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals at both ends.

Montrose's BTTS rate is lower at 40%, but they have scored in recent matches.

The average goals per game in their last nine meetings is 2.67, supporting goal involvement from both sides.

Hamilton Academical rank 2nd with 32 points, Montrose 3rd with 19 points, highlighting competitive stakes.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.67, indicating a relatively open scoring environment.
  • Hamilton Academical's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Montrose's 60% rate in recent matches suggest a tempo favoring multiple goals.
  • These trends point to a fixture where offensive momentum and defensive lapses combine to produce goals, supporting the BTTS and over 2.5 goals narratives.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hamilton Academical2
Avg goals scored
Montrose1.2
Hamilton Academical0.8
Avg goals conceded
Montrose1.6
Hamilton Academical80%
BTTS rate
Montrose40%
Hamilton Academical80%
Over 2.5 goals
Montrose60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 85%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Hamilton Academical's 80% BTTS rate this season reflects their attacking openness and defensive concessions, while Montrose's 40% rate shows less consistency but still a capacity to score. The average 2.67 goals per game in their nine head-to-head matches further supports a game with goals at both ends, driven by Hamilton's offensive pressure and Montrose's counter-attacking opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Hamilton Academical to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Montrose Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Hamilton Academical Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Montrose to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Hamilton Academical show a 80% BTTS rate and Montrose show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hamilton Academical

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 2D 0L
27 Oct 2026A Ross County1-1
24 Oct 2026H East Fife2-1
17 Oct 2026A Airdrie United2-1
10 Oct 2026A Alloa Athletic3-0
03 Oct 2026H Peterhead2-1

Montrose

WDLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
24 Oct 2026H Peterhead3-0
17 Oct 2026A East Kilbride1-1
10 Oct 2026H Ross County0-5
03 Oct 2026A Airdrie United0-1
19 Sep 2026A East Fife2-1
Best odds for this sectionHamilton Academical to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Montrose Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Hamilton Academical Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Montrose to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Recent form data shows Hamilton Academical scoring 2 goals per game and conceding less than 1, highlighting their offensive strength and relative defensive solidity. Montrose scores 1.2 goals but concedes 1.6 on average, indicating defensive fragility that could be exploited. These trends support the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture, aligning with the BTTS market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Hamilton Academical Over 2.5
60%Montrose Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.67, indicating a relatively open scoring environment. Hamilton Academical's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Montrose's 60% rate in recent matches suggest a tempo favoring multiple goals. These trends point to a fixture where offensive momentum and defensive lapses combine to produce goals, supporting the BTTS and over 2.5 goals narratives.

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