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Erzurumspor FK crestErzurumspor FK
v
Çorum FK crestÇorum FK

Süper Lig | Sat 31 Oct, 10:30

Erzurumspor FK v Çorum FK Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK meet in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown attacking intent recently. Erzurumspor FK averages 1.2 goals per game with a solid defensive record conceding 0.8, while Çorum FK boasts a higher scoring rate of 2.2 goals per match but concedes 1.2. The mid-table proximity and competitive points tally add stakes to this encounter. Çorum FK's offensive dynamism contrasts with Erzurumspor FK's more balanced approach, setting the stage for an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Çorum FK has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.
  • Erzurumspor FK's defensive solidity is tested by their 40% Over 2.5 rate, suggesting occasional goal concessions.
  • Both teams average a combined 21.6 shots per game, with Çorum FK contributing 12 shots and Erzurumspor FK 9.6, supporting attacking pressure.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.2 goals per match over the last 10 games, reflecting a tendency for multiple goals.
  • Key Çorum FK players like Ermin Mahmić and C. Ünder contribute significantly to shots and goal threat, enhancing scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 56.9% chance, supported by Çorum FK's strong attacking output and high shot volume. Erzurumspor FK's decent goal-scoring combined with their occasional defensive lapses creates conditions conducive to multiple goals. The head-to-head average of 2.2 goals and recent form data showing Çorum FK's 80% Over 2.5 rate reinforce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. No price warnings apply, and the offer positive value with a 6.9% edge. Player-level data highlights key attackers who consistently generate shots and scoring chances, underpinning the model's .

Çorum FK Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Erzurumspor FK Defensive Concessions0.8 goals against per game
Neutral
Combined Shots per Game21.6 total shots
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.2 goals per match
Positive
Model Value Edge56.9% model chance vs 50% implied (+6.9 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open encounter with Çorum FK's attacking prowess likely to challenge Erzurumspor FK's defense. The data suggests a match featuring multiple goals, driven by Çorum FK's high shot volume and goal threat from players like Ermin Mahmić. Erzurumspor FK's balanced approach may not suffice to keep the scoreline low, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Offensive dynamics and goal potential

“Çorum FK's offensive intensity combined with Erzurumspor FK's occasional defensive vulnerabilities sets the stage for a high-scoring game. The shot volumes and key player contributions underline the potential for multiple goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Çorum FK has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.

Erzurumspor FK's defensive solidity is tested by their 40% Over 2.5 rate, suggesting occasional goal concessions.

Both teams average a combined 21.6 shots per game, with Çorum FK contributing 12 shots and Erzurumspor FK 9.6, supporting attacking pressure.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.2 goals per match over the last 10 games, reflecting a tendency for multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, indicating a tendency for matches to feature multiple goals.
  • This trend, combined with recent form showing Çorum FK's frequent high-scoring games, suggests a tempo and attacking style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Erzurumspor FK1.2
Avg goals scored
Çorum FK2.2
Erzurumspor FK0.8
Avg goals conceded
Çorum FK1.2
Erzurumspor FK20%
BTTS rate
Çorum FK60%
Erzurumspor FK40%
Over 2.5 goals
Çorum FK80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +6.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Goal trends favor Over 2.5 with Çorum FK's 80% rate and Erzurumspor FK's 40%, indicating a higher scoring propensity on Çorum FK's side. Both teams have moderate BTTS rates, with Çorum FK at 60%, suggesting at least one side consistently scores. The 2.2 average goals per head-to-head match further supports an open game with multiple scoring chances.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 50% · edge +6.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Erzurumspor FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Çorum FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Erzurumspor FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The 56.9% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+6.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Erzurumspor FK and 80% for Çorum FK, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Erzurumspor FK

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 3L
24 Oct 2026A Gaziantep FK3-1
17 Oct 2026H Eyüpspor2-0
10 Oct 2026A Alanyaspor0-0
20 Sep 2026H Samsunspor1-0
11 Sep 2026A Beşiktaş0-3

Çorum FK

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 4L
25 Oct 2026A Göztepe0-2
16 Oct 2026H Rizespor2-1
11 Oct 2026A Gaziantep FK3-0
19 Sep 2026H Alanyaspor1-2
12 Sep 2026A Samsunspor5-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.2 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Erzurumspor FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Çorum FK to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Çorum FK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Erzurumspor FK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data shows Çorum FK with a strong attacking output, scoring 2.2 goals per game and an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating consistent high-scoring matches. Erzurumspor FK's form is more conservative, with 1.2 goals per game and a 40% Over 2.5 rate, reflecting a more defensive style. The contrast suggests the fixture could lean towards multiple goals, especially if Çorum FK's offense dominates.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Erzurumspor FK Over 2.5
80%Çorum FK Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, indicating a tendency for matches to feature multiple goals. This trend, combined with recent form showing Çorum FK's frequent high-scoring games, suggests a tempo and attacking style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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