Football Stats Hub

FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04
v
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

Bundesliga | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30

FC Schalke 04 v RB Leipzig Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 20:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Leipzig approaches this Bundesliga clash with FC Schalke 04 in strong form, sitting comfortably in 5th place with 12 points, while Schalke struggles near the relegation zone in 16th with just 6 points. Leipzig's attacking prowess is evident, averaging over 3 goals per game recently, contrasting with Schalke's more cautious and less productive offense. The visitors' tactical setup emphasizes high pressing and quick transitions, likely to challenge Schalke's defense, which has conceded nearly twice as many goals as Leipzig. This match presents a clear opportunity for Leipzig to extend their momentum against a side still seeking consistency.

BT4Y best bet

RB Leipzig to Win

  • RB Leipzig ranks 5th with 12 points; Schalke 16th with 6 points, showing a clear form gap
  • Leipzig averages 3.2 goals per game recently versus Schalke's 0.8, highlighting attacking superiority
  • Schalke concedes 0.8 goals per game recently; Leipzig concedes 1.6 but compensates with stronger offense
  • Leipzig averages 15.2 shots and 5.8 shots on target per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.6 over 10 matches, suggesting open games with scoring chances

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors RB Leipzig to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and offensive output. Leipzig's high shot volume and goal-scoring rate contrast sharply with Schalke's struggles, supporting the away win pick. The 1.83 offer positive value given the implied chance of 54.6%. Player-level data highlights key contributors like C. Baumgartner and C. Harder, who consistently generate shots and goal threats, reinforcing Leipzig's attacking edge. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Recent formLeipzig's 9 points vs Schalke's 5 in last 5 matches
Strong positive
Goal scoringLeipzig 3.2 goals/game vs Schalke 0.8
Strong positive
Shots and pressureLeipzig averages 15.2 shots and 5.8 on target per game
Strong positive
Player impactBaumgartner and Harder show high shot and goal threat
Strong positive
Value edge69.6% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

RB Leipzig's attacking quality and recent momentum make them the clear favorites against a Schalke side struggling for form and goals. Their ability to create and convert chances, supported by strong shot metrics and key players like Baumgartner, underpins the in an away victory. Schalke's defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring output further tilt the balance towards Leipzig securing all three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attacking strength and player impact

“Leipzig's dynamic midfield and forward line, led by Baumgartner and Harder, create a potent attacking threat that Schalke's defense has struggled to contain this season. Their superior shot volume and finishing precision give Leipzig a decisive edge in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

RB Leipzig to Win evidence

RB Leipzig ranks 5th with 12 points; Schalke 16th with 6 points, showing a clear form gap

Leipzig averages 3.2 goals per game recently versus Schalke's 0.8, highlighting attacking superiority

Schalke concedes 0.8 goals per game recently; Leipzig concedes 1.6 but compensates with stronger offense

Leipzig averages 15.2 shots and 5.8 shots on target per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure

What To Watch In The Data

RB Leipzig to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3.6, indicating a tendency for open, attacking matches.
  • Leipzig's recent matches show a high rate of over 2.5 goals (80%), suggesting a fast-paced game with scoring opportunities, supporting expectations of an offensively active contest favoring Leipzig.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Schalke 040.8
Avg goals scored
RB Leipzig3.2
FC Schalke 040.8
Avg goals conceded
RB Leipzig1.6
FC Schalke 0440%
BTTS rate
RB Leipzig20%
FC Schalke 0440%
Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Recent trends show Leipzig averaging 3.2 goals per game with a relatively low BTTS rate of 20%, indicating they often win without conceding. Schalke's lower scoring and conceding rates suggest a match leaning towards a Leipzig win with limited goals conceded. The 3.6 average goals in head-to-head matches point to open games but recent form favors Leipzig's scoring control.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Bundesliga fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRB Leipzig to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
RB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 69.6% for RB Leipzig to Win sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). RB Leipzig have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for FC Schalke 04.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Schalke 04

DLLDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 3L
24 Oct 2026A 1. FC Köln0-0
17 Oct 2026H FSV Mainz 050-1
11 Oct 2026A SC Freiburg1-2
20 Sep 2026H SV Elversberg0-0
11 Sep 2026A Union Berlin3-1

RB Leipzig

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 3L
24 Oct 2026H SV Elversberg4-0
17 Oct 2026A Bayern München1-6
10 Oct 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt6-0
20 Sep 2026A Bayer Leverkusen0-2
13 Sep 2026H Hamburger SV5-0
Market aligned with main pickRB Leipzig to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
RB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Leipzig's recent form shows 9 points from their last five matches with a potent attack scoring 3.2 goals per game, contrasting with Schalke's 5 points and 0.8 goals per game. This disparity reflects Leipzig's momentum and , which is likely to influence the match outcome decisively in their favor.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5
80%RB Leipzig Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3.6, indicating a tendency for open, attacking matches. Leipzig's recent matches show a high rate of over 2.5 goals (80%), suggesting a fast-paced game with scoring opportunities, supporting expectations of an offensively active contest favoring Leipzig.

Loading deeper match data…