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Coventry crestCoventry
v
Sunderland crestSunderland

Premier League | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Coventry v Sunderland Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 00:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coventry face Sunderland in Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00. Under 2.5 Goals suits two of the Premier League's least efficient attacks in a tense relegation battle. Home form offers little reassurance. Granit Xhaka should provide midfield experience, with Brian Brobbey potentially leading the attack.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 4/5, Under 2 implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • When these two sides meet, the likelihood of a high-scoring blowout diminishes significantly.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Coventry and 20% for Sunderland, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Coventry are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Sunderland at 0.6.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Coventry and 20% for Sunderland show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for Under 2 sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Coventry and 20% for Sunderland, so the goals angle is not just a price call. When these two sides meet, the likelihood of a high-scoring blowout diminishes significantly.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Coventry and 20%.Visible data support
Positive
Coventry are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive
When these two sides meet, the likelihood of a.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because coventry's low scoring and expected goals average, combined with Sunderland's recent scoring drought and poor finishing, suggest a low-scoring match despite defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Coventry are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Sunderland at 0.6. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Coventry's low scoring and expected goals average, combined with Sunderland's recent scoring drought and poor finishing, suggest a.

Coventry are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Sunderland at 0.6.

BTTS rates of 40% for Coventry and 20% for Sunderland show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Coventry1.2
Avg goals scored
Sunderland0.6
Coventry2
Avg goals conceded
Sunderland2.2
Coventry40%
BTTS rate
Sunderland20%
Coventry60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sunderland20%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Coventry

LLWWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 6L
24 Oct 2026H Fulham0-1
19 Oct 2026A Tottenham1-3
12 Oct 2026H Newcastle4-1
19 Sep 2026A Nottingham Forest1-0
13 Sep 2026H Brighton0-5

Sunderland

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 5L
25 Oct 2026H Leeds0-0
18 Oct 2026A Bournemouth0-2
10 Oct 2026H Brighton0-2
20 Sep 2026A Manchester City3-5
12 Sep 2026H Arsenal0-2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Coventry Over 2.5
20%Sunderland Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Coventry sit at 60% and Sunderland sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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