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Kocaelispor crestKocaelispor
v
Rizespor crestRizespor

Süper Lig | Sat 31 Oct, 13:00

Kocaelispor v Rizespor Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kocaelispor and Rizespor meet in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Kocaelispor ranks 7th with 15 points, while Rizespor sits 13th with 10 points, reflecting contrasting league positions but similar recent scoring patterns. Both sides have averaged over 1.2 goals scored per game recently, with Rizespor conceding more frequently. The match promises open play, with both teams likely to find opportunities given their offensive tendencies and defensive lapses, setting the stage for a contest where both sides could score.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in recent matches.
  • Kocaelispor averages 14.4 shots per game, Rizespor 12.6, indicating offensive activity.
  • Rizespor concedes 2.2 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3 goals, supporting goal-scoring chances.
  • Both teams have over 60% over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting attacking openness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating strong value. Both Kocaelispor and Rizespor have consistent attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities, with recent form showing a 60% BTTS rate for each. Offensive metrics such as shots and shots on target further support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The data quality is solid, with no limitations on team data, reinforcing in this selection.

Model Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Kocaelispor BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Rizespor BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Defensive Concession Rate (Rizespor)2.2 goals per game
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles and defensive lapses of both Kocaelispor and Rizespor create a fertile environment for goals at both ends, making the BTTS market an appealing angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in recent matches.

Kocaelispor averages 14.4 shots per game, Rizespor 12.6, indicating offensive activity.

Rizespor concedes 2.2 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3 goals, supporting goal-scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, an average of 3 goals were scored, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend.
  • Both teams' recent matches also show high over 2.5 goals rates (60% and 80%), indicating a fast tempo and open play conducive to multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kocaelispor1.2
Avg goals scored
Rizespor1.6
Kocaelispor1.2
Avg goals conceded
Rizespor2.2
Kocaelispor60%
BTTS rate
Rizespor60%
Kocaelispor60%
Over 2.5 goals
Rizespor80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate recently, with matches averaging around 3 goals in their head-to-head meetings. Kocaelispor and Rizespor's attacking tendencies combined with defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high probability of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Kocaelispor to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Kocaelispor Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Rizespor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Kocaelispor show a 60% BTTS rate and Rizespor show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kocaelispor

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 4L
23 Oct 2026A Alanyaspor2-1
18 Oct 2026H Göztepe1-2
11 Oct 2026A Beşiktaş1-2
19 Sep 2026H Gaziantep FK2-0
13 Sep 2026A Galatasaray0-1

Rizespor

LLLDW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 5L
26 Oct 2026H Trabzonspor3-4
16 Oct 2026A Çorum FK1-2
10 Oct 2026H Fenerbahçe0-3
20 Sep 2026A Göztepe2-2
12 Sep 2026A Eyüpspor2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 67% · edge +13.5 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Kocaelispor to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Kocaelispor Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Rizespor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Rizespor to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Recent form shows Kocaelispor scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding the same, while Rizespor scores 1.6 but concedes 2.2, highlighting their defensive weaknesses. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Kocaelispor Over 2.5
80%Rizespor Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, an average of 3 goals were scored, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals trend. Both teams' recent matches also show high over 2.5 goals rates (60% and 80%), indicating a fast tempo and open play conducive to multiple goals.

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