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Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
v
SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

Bundesliga | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 20:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach face SC Paderborn 07 in a Bundesliga clash where both teams have shown contrasting fortunes. Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 1.6 goals per game recently but conceded 3, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. SC Paderborn 07, ranked 13th, have scored 1.2 goals per game and conceded 1.6, showing a moderate attacking threat. The match promises open play given Borussia Mönchengladbach's defensive lapses and Paderborn's ability to create chances, setting a stage for both sides to find the net in a competitive fixture with tactical battles in midfield and attack.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach have an 80% BTTS rate in recent matches.
  • SC Paderborn 07 have scored in 40% of their recent games, showing some attacking potential.
  • Both teams average over 4 shots on target per game, indicating offensive intent.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach concede an average of 3 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty.
  • SC Paderborn 07 maintain a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, supporting an open game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% chance, well above the implied market probability of 43.5%, indicating strong value. Borussia Mönchengladbach's defensive record shows susceptibility to conceding, while SC Paderborn 07's attacking metrics, including shots and goals per game, support their ability to score. The combination of Borussia Mönchengladbach's offensive output and defensive lapses, alongside Paderborn's improving attack, creates a compelling case for both teams to find the net. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Probability vs Market73.3% model chance vs 69.4% implied (+3.9 pts)
Strong positive
Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive Concessions3 goals per game
Positive
SC Paderborn 07 Attacking Output1.2 goals per game, 4.2 shots on target
Positive
Recent BTTS Rates80% for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 40% for Paderborn
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent defensive struggles combined with SC Paderborn 07's capacity to create chances make Both Teams to Score a logical pick. The data shows both sides possess offensive qualities capable of breaching defenses, while defensive vulnerabilities on both ends increase the likelihood of goals at both sides. This bet reflects the tactical openness expected in this fixture.

Main risk

Paderborn's inability to score yet and Dortmund's defensive absences suggest a competitive but favorable outcome for the hosts.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Borussia Mönchengladbach's defensive lapses paired with SC Paderborn's growing attacking threat set the stage for a match where both sides are likely to score. The statistical indicators strongly support a BTTS outcome in this Bundesliga encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Borussia Mönchengladbach have an 80% BTTS rate in recent matches.

SC Paderborn 07 have scored in 40% of their recent games, showing some attacking potential.

Both teams average over 4 shots on target per game, indicating offensive intent.

Borussia Mönchengladbach concede an average of 3 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last seven meetings, the average goals per game is 2.71, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and Paderborn's 60% rate in recent matches suggest a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, supporting an over 2.5 goals environment alongside BTTS.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Borussia Mönchengladbach1.6
Avg goals scored
SC Paderborn 071.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach3
Avg goals conceded
SC Paderborn 071.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach80%
BTTS rate
SC Paderborn 0740%
Borussia Mönchengladbach100%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 0760%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Borussia Mönchengladbach have an 80% BTTS rate recently, reflecting frequent goals conceded and scored. SC Paderborn 07 have a 40% BTTS rate but average 1.2 goals per game and 4.2 shots on target, showing potential to score. Combined, these stats support an open game with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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SC Paderborn 07 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
SC Paderborn 07 to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 69.4% implied by the current price (+3.9 pts). Borussia Mönchengladbach show a 80% BTTS rate and SC Paderborn 07 show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Dortmund to win and Both Teams to Score.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 6L
23 Oct 2026A VfB Stuttgart3-2
18 Oct 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
11 Oct 2026A 1. FC Köln1-2
19 Sep 2026H FSV Mainz 053-4
12 Sep 2026A SC Freiburg0-5

SC Paderborn 07

WDLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
24 Oct 2026H Hamburger SV1-0
17 Oct 2026A Werder Bremen2-2
10 Oct 2026H VfB Stuttgart0-2
20 Sep 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim3-1
12 Sep 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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SC Paderborn 07 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
SC Paderborn 07 to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form shows Borussia Mönchengladbach scoring 1.6 goals per game but conceding 3, highlighting defensive weaknesses. SC Paderborn 07 have scored 1.2 goals per game and conceded 1.6, showing moderate attacking and defensive balance. These trends suggest both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, reinforcing the BTTS pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
60%SC Paderborn 07 Over 2.5
2.71H2H avg goals
Over the last seven meetings, the average goals per game is 2.71, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Borussia Mönchengladbach's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and Paderborn's 60% rate in recent matches suggest a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, supporting an over 2.5 goals environment alongside BTTS.

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