Football Stats Hub

Airdrie United crestAirdrie United
v
Cove Rangers crestCove Rangers

League One | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Airdrie United v Cove Rangers Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Airdrie United hosts Cove Rangers in a League One clash where home advantage and recent form suggest a competitive edge for Airdrie United. The home side has accumulated 13 points and sits fifth in the table, showing more consistency compared to tenth-placed Cove Rangers with 6 points. Airdrie United's attacking approach has yielded a higher goal rate and a strong tendency for matches to exceed 2.5 goals, indicating an open game style. Cove Rangers have struggled defensively and offensively, making Airdrie United the likely favorite in this fixture, though tactical discipline will be key to securing victory.

BT4Y best bet

Airdrie United to Win

  • Airdrie United holds a 71.7% to win, showing strong in home victory.
  • Recent form favors Airdrie United with 7 points gained versus Cove Rangers' 1 point in recent matches.
  • Airdrie United's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.
  • Cove Rangers concede more goals on average (2.2 per game) compared to Airdrie United (1.8), highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.9, suggesting moderate scoring but with Airdrie United's offensive edge likely decisive.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Airdrie United to win based on a combination of superior recent form, stronger home performance, and a higher goal-scoring rate. The 71.7% chance reflects in their ability to capitalize on Cove Rangers' defensive frailties. Airdrie United's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, supporting an attacking style that can overwhelm the visitors. Defensive metrics also favor the home side, who concede fewer goals on average. This blend of attacking threat and defensive solidity underpins the model's positive value assessment at current .

Recent FormAirdrie United 7 points vs Cove Rangers 1 point
Strong positive
Goal Scoring RateAirdrie United 1.2 goals per game
Positive
Defensive RecordAirdrie United concedes 1.8 goals per game, better than Cove Rangers' 2.2
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateAirdrie United 80%, Cove Rangers 40%
Strong positive
Model Confidence71.7% chance for Airdrie United to win
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Airdrie United's superior recent form and home advantage make them the clear tactical and statistical favorite to win this League One fixture. Their ability to score and defend better than Cove Rangers underpins this , suggesting they will control the match tempo and secure the three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Airdrie United's blend of attacking intent and defensive resilience positions them well to dominate this match. Their recent performances show a team capable of controlling play and exploiting defensive weaknesses in Cove Rangers.”

Key Data Signals

Airdrie United to Win evidence

Airdrie United holds a 71.7% to win, showing strong in home victory.

Recent form favors Airdrie United with 7 points gained versus Cove Rangers' 1 point in recent matches.

Airdrie United's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.

Cove Rangers concede more goals on average (2.2 per game) compared to Airdrie United (1.8), highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Airdrie United to Win notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, suggesting moderate scoring.
  • However, Airdrie United's recent matches show a higher tempo and goal frequency, indicating that this fixture could see more goals than the historical average, especially with their attacking form.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Airdrie United1.2
Avg goals scored
Cove Rangers1
Airdrie United1.8
Avg goals conceded
Cove Rangers2.2
Airdrie United60%
BTTS rate
Cove Rangers60%
Airdrie United80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cove Rangers40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Goal trends indicate a strong likelihood of scoring in this match, with Airdrie United's games hitting over 2.5 goals 80% of the time, while Cove Rangers have a lower 40% rate. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting both sides can find the net, but Airdrie's attacking edge may lead to a higher scoring game.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAirdrie United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +13.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Airdrie United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 71.7% for Airdrie United to Win sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+13.9 pts). Airdrie United have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Cove Rangers.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Airdrie United

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Ross County0-4
17 Oct 2026H Hamilton Academical1-2
10 Oct 2026A East Kilbride2-2
03 Oct 2026H Montrose1-0
19 Sep 2026A Peterhead2-1

Cove Rangers

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
17 Oct 2026A Peterhead0-2
10 Oct 2026H East Fife1-1
03 Oct 2026A Queen of the South3-4
19 Sep 2026H Ross County0-2
12 Sep 2026A Montrose1-2
Market aligned with main pickAirdrie United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +13.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Airdrie United Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Recent form heavily favors Airdrie United, who have secured 7 points in their last matches compared to Cove Rangers' single point. This momentum reflects better tactical execution and squad , which should translate into a home win in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Airdrie United Over 2.5
40%Cove Rangers Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, suggesting moderate scoring. However, Airdrie United's recent matches show a higher tempo and goal frequency, indicating that this fixture could see more goals than the historical average, especially with their attacking form.

Loading deeper match data…