Kilmarnock
ST JohnstonePremiership | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Kilmarnock v ST Johnstone Stats
Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 17:45 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Kilmarnock face ST Johnstone in Premiership on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00. Over 2.5 Goals is supported by Kilmarnock's league-worst defence conceding 26 goals in 11 matches and 13 at home without a clean sheet.
Over 2
- At 4/6, Over 2 implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
- The 1-2 scoreline reflects St Johnstone's ability to exploit Kilmarnock's defensive issues while acknowledging Killie's scoring potential.
- ST Johnstone have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock.
- ST Johnstone have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Kilmarnock sit 12 in the table, while ST Johnstone sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 52% (-8.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 52% for Over 2 sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. ST Johnstone have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock. The 1-2 scoreline reflects St Johnstone's ability to exploit Kilmarnock's defensive issues while acknowledging Killie's scoring potential.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: ST Johnstone Win is the preferred angle because the 1-2 scoreline reflects St Johnstone's ability to exploit Kilmarnock's defensive issues while acknowledging Killie's scoring potential. ST Johnstone have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock. Kilmarnock carry the stronger scoring threat, but St Johnstone must contribute for BTTS to land.
Kilmarnock carry the stronger scoring threat, but St Johnstone must contribute for BTTS to land.
Key Data Signals
Over 2 evidence
The 1-2 scoreline reflects St Johnstone's ability to exploit Kilmarnock's defensive issues while acknowledging Killie's scoring potential.
ST Johnstone have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kilmarnock.
ST Johnstone have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the ST Johnstone Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Kilmarnock sit 12 in the table, while ST Johnstone sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 2 notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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