Football Stats Hub

Chelsea crestChelsea
v
Manchester United crestManchester United

Premier League | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30

Chelsea v Manchester United Stats

Data last updated: Mon 12 Oct 2026, 02:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chelsea face Manchester United in Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 12:30. Chelsea are in a terrible run of form, losing five of their last six matches and failing to score in three consecutive league games.

BT4Y best bet

Manchester United Win

  • At 9/5, Manchester United Win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 36%.
  • United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford Bridge encounter.
  • Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Manchester United.
  • Manchester United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Chelsea sit 6 in the table, while Manchester United sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 36% for Manchester United Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Manchester United. United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford Bridge encounter.

Model chance vs price36% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Neutral
Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Manchester United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester United Win is the preferred angle because united’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford Bridge encounter. Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Manchester United. A lower accuracy often indicates United's more direct, high-risk creative passing style.

Main risk

A lower accuracy often indicates United's more direct, high-risk creative passing style.

Key Data Signals

Manchester United Win evidence

United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford.

Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Manchester United.

Manchester United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Chelsea sit 6 in the table, while Manchester United sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Manchester United Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Chelsea2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Manchester United1.8
    Chelsea2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Manchester United1.4
    Chelsea80%
    BTTS rate
    Manchester United80%
    Chelsea100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Manchester United40%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Chelsea

    WLDLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 2L
    10 Oct 2026H Bournemouth5-1
    18 Sep 2026A Brentford0-3
    12 Sep 2026H Hull City2-2
    06 Sep 2026A Arsenal1-2
    30 Aug 2026H Brighton4-3

    Manchester United

    DDLDW
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 2L
    10 Oct 2026H Tottenham1-1
    20 Sep 2026A Fulham1-1
    13 Sep 2026H Manchester City0-1
    06 Sep 2026A Everton2-2
    30 Aug 2026H Ipswich5-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Chelsea Over 2.5
    40%Manchester United Over 2.5
    2.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chelsea sit at 100% and Manchester United sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…