Football Stats Hub

Chelsea crestChelsea
v
Manchester United crestManchester United

Premier League | Sat 18 Apr, 20:00

Chelsea v Manchester United Stats

Data last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026, 04:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chelsea face Manchester United in Premier League on Sat 18 Apr, 20:00. Chelsea are in a terrible run of form, losing five of their last six matches and failing to score in three consecutive league games.

BT4Y best bet

Manchester United Win

  • At 9/5, Manchester United Win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford Bridge encounter.
  • Manchester United have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Chelsea.
  • Manchester United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Chelsea sit 10 in the table, while Manchester United sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Manchester United Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Manchester United have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Chelsea. United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford Bridge encounter.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
Manchester United have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
Manchester United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester United Win is the preferred angle because united’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford Bridge encounter. Manchester United have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Chelsea. A lower accuracy often indicates United's more direct, high-risk creative passing style.

Main risk

A lower accuracy often indicates United's more direct, high-risk creative passing style.

Key Data Signals

Manchester United Win evidence

United’s defensive record is modest, making a repeat of the 2-1 scoreline highly plausible in this high-stakes Stamford.

Manchester United have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Chelsea.

Manchester United have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Chelsea sit 10 in the table, while Manchester United sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Manchester United Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Chelsea7.8
    Avg corners for
    Manchester United7.2
    Chelsea12.6
    Avg total corners
    Manchester United11
    Chelsea2.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Manchester United2.6
    Chelsea14
    Avg shots
    Manchester United16.8

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Chelsea1
    Avg goals scored
    Manchester United1.8
    Chelsea2
    Avg goals conceded
    Manchester United1.6
    Chelsea40%
    BTTS rate
    Manchester United100%
    Chelsea80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Manchester United100%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Chelsea

    LLLWL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    12 Apr 2026H Manchester City0-3
    21 Mar 2026A Everton0-3
    14 Mar 2026H Newcastle0-1
    04 Mar 2026A Aston Villa4-1
    01 Mar 2026A Arsenal1-2

    Manchester United

    LDWLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    13 Apr 2026H Leeds1-2
    20 Mar 2026A Bournemouth2-2
    15 Mar 2026H Aston Villa3-1
    04 Mar 2026A Newcastle1-2
    01 Mar 2026H Crystal Palace2-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Chelsea wins
    5Draws
    3Manchester United wins
    20 Sep 2025Manchester United v Chelsea2-1
    16 May 2025Chelsea v Manchester United1-0
    03 Nov 2024Manchester United v Chelsea1-1
    04 Apr 2024Chelsea v Manchester United4-3
    06 Dec 2023Manchester United v Chelsea2-1
    25 May 2023Manchester United v Chelsea4-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Chelsea38
    Played
    Manchester United38
    Chelsea1.5
    Avg goals for
    Manchester United1.8
    Chelsea1.4
    Avg goals against
    Manchester United1.3
    Chelsea9
    Clean sheets
    Manchester United8

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Manchester United71382011719
    10Chelsea52381410146
    Chelsea sit in position 10, while Manchester United sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Manchester United Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Chelsea Over 2.5
    100%Manchester United Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chelsea sit at 80% and Manchester United sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.