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Oldham crestOldham
v
Crawley Town crestCrawley Town

League Two | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Oldham v Crawley Town Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 11:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Oldham and Crawley Town meet in a League Two clash where both sides have shown a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Oldham, positioned 20th, have struggled defensively but maintain a decent attacking output, while Crawley Town, near the bottom at 24th, also concede frequently but push forward with intent. Recent matches suggest a high-tempo encounter with both teams eager to break defensive lines, setting the stage for a potentially goal-rich contest at this mid-season point.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams average 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.8 goals per game, supporting a goal-heavy fixture.
  • Oldham average 14.2 shots per game with 3.4 on target, showing attacking intent.
  • Crawley Town have a high BTTS rate of 80%, reflecting their openness and defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 45.7% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, slightly above the implied market chance of 42%, indicating a modest . Both teams have shown offensive willingness and defensive frailties, with recent form and head-to-head data supporting a high-scoring game. The presence of key attackers with strong shot and goal metrics further bolsters the likelihood of multiple goals. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on balanced data and tactical context.

Model Chance vs Market45.7% model chance vs 42% implied (+3.7 pts)
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate60% both teams
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.8 goals per game
Positive
Attacking Shots and SOTOldham 14.2 shots, Crawley 11.8 shots
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Oldham and Crawley Town have shown defensive vulnerabilities and a willingness to push forward. The data supports a high-scoring match with multiple goal attempts from key players, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This fixture features two teams with leaky defenses and active attacking players, creating fertile ground for a goal-laden match. The combination of recent form and player shot volumes points to a lively game with multiple scoring chances.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams average 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Head-to-head meetings average 3.8 goals per game, supporting a goal-heavy fixture.

Oldham average 14.2 shots per game with 3.4 on target, showing attacking intent.

Crawley Town have a high BTTS rate of 80%, reflecting their openness and defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8, indicating a trend toward high-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness, with both teams frequently finding the net and conceding multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Oldham1.2
Avg goals scored
Crawley Town1.2
Oldham1.8
Avg goals conceded
Crawley Town2
Oldham60%
BTTS rate
Crawley Town80%
Oldham60%
Over 2.5 goals
Crawley Town60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 42% · edge +3.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate and Crawley Town's 80% BTTS rate highlights their defensive openness and attacking intent. The head-to-head average of 3.8 goals per game further confirms the propensity for multiple goals and both teams scoring in this matchup.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Crawley Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Oldham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Oldham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Crawley Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
The 45.7% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price (+3.7 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Oldham and 60% for Crawley Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Oldham

DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Barnet1-1
20 Oct 2026A Walsall0-3
17 Oct 2026H Cheltenham4-1
10 Oct 2026H Accrington ST0-0
26 Sep 2026H Salford City1-4

Crawley Town

DLLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
24 Oct 2026H Tranmere1-1
20 Oct 2026H Shrewsbury2-3
17 Oct 2026A Salford City1-2
10 Oct 2026H Chesterfield2-2
19 Sep 2026A Grimsby0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 85% · edge -2.3 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Crawley Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Oldham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Oldham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Crawley Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form data shows both teams averaging 1.2 goals scored per game but conceding heavily (Oldham 1.8, Crawley 2.0), supporting an expectation of open play and multiple goals. Both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Oldham Over 2.5
60%Crawley Town Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.8, indicating a trend toward high-scoring games. This sample suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness, with both teams frequently finding the net and conceding multiple goals.

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