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Bournemouth crestBournemouth
v
Leeds crestLeeds

Premier League | Wed 22 Apr, 20:00

Bournemouth v Leeds Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 02:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bournemouth face Leeds in Premier League on Wed 22 Apr, 20:00. Analysing the recent history of this fixture, high-scoring affairs are common, with 4.33 goals averaged across the last six meetings. Will Bournemouth's dominant home form be enough to halt Leeds United's impressive unbeaten run on the road?

BT4Y lean · price warning

Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 63%, above the 47% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 6/10, Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • 📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score
  • Bournemouth show a 60% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bournemouth average 1.2 goals scored and Leeds average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 63% while the model sits nearer 47% (-15.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 47% for Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Bournemouth show a 60% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Bournemouth show a 60% BTTS rate and Leeds show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bournemouth average 1.2 goals scored and Leeds average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to ScoreArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score Bournemouth show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Leeds show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. it comes with risk, because they are weak at defending counter attacks, weak at defending set pieces, and weak in aerial duels.

Main risk

it comes with risk, because they are weak at defending counter attacks, weak at defending set pieces, and weak in aerial duels.

Key Data Signals

Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses evidence

📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score

Bournemouth show a 60% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bournemouth average 1.2 goals scored and Leeds average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bournemouth1.2
Avg goals scored
Leeds1
Bournemouth0.8
Avg goals conceded
Leeds0.4
Bournemouth60%
BTTS rate
Leeds20%
Bournemouth60%
Over 2.5 goals
Leeds40%

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bournemouth

WWDDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 6D 0L
18 Apr 2026A Newcastle2-1
11 Apr 2026A Arsenal2-1
20 Mar 2026H Manchester United2-2
14 Mar 2026A Burnley0-0
03 Mar 2026H Brentford0-0

Leeds

WWDDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
18 Apr 2026H Wolves3-0
13 Apr 2026A Manchester United2-1
21 Mar 2026H Brentford0-0
15 Mar 2026A Crystal Palace0-0
03 Mar 2026H Sunderland0-1

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Bournemouth5738131874
14Leeds4738111413-7
Bournemouth sit in position 6, while Leeds sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses assessment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bournemouth4.4
Avg corners for
Leeds5.4
Bournemouth10
Avg total corners
Leeds11.2
Bournemouth2.2
Avg yellow cards
Leeds2
Bournemouth14.2
Avg shots
Leeds14.8

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Bournemouth wins
1Draws
4Leeds wins
27 Sep 2025Leeds v Bournemouth2-2
30 Apr 2023Bournemouth v Leeds4-1
05 Nov 2022Leeds v Bournemouth4-3
20 Jan 2015Leeds v Bournemouth1-0
16 Sep 2014Bournemouth v Leeds1-3
25 Mar 2014Bournemouth v Leeds4-1

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Season team stats

Premier League

Bournemouth38
Played
Leeds38
Bournemouth1.5
Avg goals for
Leeds1.3
Bournemouth1.4
Avg goals against
Leeds1.5
Bournemouth11
Clean sheets
Leeds8

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Bournemouth Over 2.5
40%Leeds Over 2.5
4.14H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bournemouth sit at 60% and Leeds sit at 40% with the H2H average at 4.14 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.