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Bournemouth crestBournemouth
v
Leeds crestLeeds

Premier League | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Bournemouth v Leeds Stats

Data last updated: Sun 11 Oct 2026, 17:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bournemouth face Leeds in Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00. Analysing the recent history of this fixture, high-scoring affairs are common, with 4.33 goals averaged across the last six meetings. Will Bournemouth's dominant home form be enough to halt Leeds United's impressive unbeaten run on the road?

BT4Y best bet

Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses

  • At 6/10, Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • 📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score
  • Bournemouth show a 80% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Bournemouth average 1.2 goals scored and Leeds average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Bournemouth show a 80% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Positive
Bournemouth show a 80% BTTS rate and Leeds show a.Visible data support
Positive
Bournemouth average 1.2 goals scored and Leeds average 1.4, so.Visible data support
Positive
📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to ScoreArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score Bournemouth show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Leeds show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. it comes with risk, because they are weak at defending counter attacks, weak at defending set pieces, and weak in aerial duels.

Main risk

it comes with risk, because they are weak at defending counter attacks, weak at defending set pieces, and weak in aerial duels.

Key Data Signals

Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses evidence

📊 Market Explainer: Both Teams to Score

Bournemouth show a 80% BTTS rate and Leeds show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Bournemouth average 1.2 goals scored and Leeds average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Kicks, which aligns with Bournemouth's defensive weaknesses notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bournemouth1.2
Avg goals scored
Leeds1.4
Bournemouth2.2
Avg goals conceded
Leeds1
Bournemouth80%
BTTS rate
Leeds80%
Bournemouth60%
Over 2.5 goals
Leeds40%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bournemouth

LLDDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 3L
10 Oct 2026A Chelsea1-5
20 Sep 2026H Liverpool0-1
12 Sep 2026H Brentford2-2
05 Sep 2026A Newcastle2-2
29 Aug 2026H Everton1-1

Leeds

LDWDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
10 Oct 2026A Arsenal1-2
20 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace0-0
14 Sep 2026H Newcastle4-1
05 Sep 2026A Brighton1-1
30 Aug 2026H Brentford1-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Bournemouth Over 2.5
40%Leeds Over 2.5
4.13H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bournemouth sit at 60% and Leeds sit at 40% with the H2H average at 4.13 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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