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Leyton Orient crestLeyton Orient
v
Cambridge United crestCambridge United

League One | Sat 31 Oct, 12:30

Leyton Orient v Cambridge United Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 15:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cambridge United visit Leyton Orient in a League One clash where recent form and league positioning suggest an away advantage. Cambridge United have accumulated 21 points, sitting 7th, while Leyton Orient are 16th with 14 points. Cambridge's attack has been more productive, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Leyton Orient's 0.6, and their recent form includes 8 points from the last matches versus Leyton Orient's 4. This fixture offers Cambridge a chance to extend their strong run and climb higher in the table, with Leyton Orient needing to improve defensively to challenge effectively.

BT4Y best bet

Cambridge United to Win

  • Cambridge United have a 63.3% to win, with positive value at 2.35 .
  • Cambridge average 1.6 goals per game, significantly higher than Leyton Orient's 0.6.
  • Cambridge's recent form yields 8 points versus Leyton Orient's 4, indicating momentum advantage.
  • Cambridge United average 16.8 shots and 6.6 shots on target per game, outpacing Leyton Orient's 14 shots and 4.2 on target.
  • Cambridge United rank 7th with 21 points, Leyton Orient 16th with 14 points, reflecting league position disparity.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cambridge United to win with a 63.3% chance, supported by their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and stronger offensive metrics. Cambridge's average of 1.6 goals per game and 6.6 shots on target per match contrasts with Leyton Orient's lower attacking output. The away side's league position and points tally further reinforce their advantage. No data limitations affect , and the current offer positive value, making this a compelling selection based on both statistical and tactical factors.

Model Win Probability63.3%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsCambridge 8 vs Leyton Orient 4
Strong positive
Goals per GameCambridge 1.6 vs Leyton Orient 0.6
Strong positive
Shots on Target per GameCambridge 6.6 vs Leyton Orient 4.2
Strong positive
League PositionCambridge 7th vs Leyton Orient 16th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cambridge United's superior attacking form and higher league standing make them the likely winners in this encounter. Their ability to create more shots and convert chances, combined with Leyton Orient's struggles to score, suggests Cambridge will capitalize on their momentum and secure the three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cambridge United's offensive efficiency and recent momentum position them well to overcome Leyton Orient, whose defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring rate may be exposed in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Cambridge United to Win evidence

Cambridge United have a 63.3% to win, with positive value at 2.35 .

Cambridge average 1.6 goals per game, significantly higher than Leyton Orient's 0.6.

Cambridge's recent form yields 8 points versus Leyton Orient's 4, indicating momentum advantage.

Cambridge United average 16.8 shots and 6.6 shots on target per game, outpacing Leyton Orient's 14 shots and 4.2 on target.

What To Watch In The Data

Cambridge United to Win notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.1, suggesting a relatively open fixture with goal-scoring opportunities.
  • Cambridge United's recent matches show a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, supporting the potential for a lively attacking game with multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Leyton Orient0.6
Avg goals scored
Cambridge United1.6
Leyton Orient1
Avg goals conceded
Cambridge United1.4
Leyton Orient20%
BTTS rate
Cambridge United80%
Leyton Orient20%
Over 2.5 goals
Cambridge United60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 60% · edge +3.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Cambridge United's higher average goals per game (1.6) and 80% BTTS rate indicate a more open attacking style compared to Leyton Orient's 0.6 goals and 20% BTTS rate. This suggests a likelihood of goals and both teams scoring, favoring an attacking match dynamic.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCambridge United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 57.6% for Cambridge United to Win sits against roughly 42.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cambridge United have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Leyton Orient.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Leyton Orient

LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Burton Albion1-2
21 Oct 2026A Reading0-1
17 Oct 2026H Blackpool2-0
10 Oct 2026A Bradford0-0
03 Oct 2026H Plymouth0-2

Cambridge United

DLDWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
27 Oct 2026A Sheffield Wednesday1-1
24 Oct 2026H Plymouth2-3
20 Oct 2026H Wycombe2-2
17 Oct 2026A Barnsley2-1
10 Oct 2026H Blackpool1-0
Market aligned with main pickCambridge United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Cambridge United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Cambridge United have secured 8 points recently, reflecting improved form and , while Leyton Orient have managed only 4 points, highlighting struggles in both scoring and results. This momentum gap favors Cambridge United's chances to continue their positive run.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Leyton Orient Over 2.5
60%Cambridge United Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.1, suggesting a relatively open fixture with goal-scoring opportunities. Cambridge United's recent matches show a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, supporting the potential for a lively attacking game with multiple goals.

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