Football Stats Hub

Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen
v
1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 Hoffenheim

Bundesliga | Sat 31 Oct, 14:30

Werder Bremen v 1899 Hoffenheim Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 20:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Werder Bremen hosts 1899 Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Werder Bremen has scored an average of 2.2 goals per game recently, while Hoffenheim averages 2.0, highlighting a mutual offensive threat. Both teams have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, with Werder Bremen hitting over 2.5 goals in 80% of recent games and Hoffenheim in 100%. The fixture promises open play and goal opportunities, with both sides eager to secure valuable points in a competitive mid-table battle.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Werder Bremen averages 2.2 goals per game, Hoffenheim 2.0 in recent matches
  • Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates: 80% for Bremen, 100% for Hoffenheim
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.4 over last 10 meetings
  • Werder Bremen averages 16 shots and 7.8 on target per game, Hoffenheim 18.8 shots and 5.6 on target
  • Key players like N. Füllkrug and Max Moerstedt contribute significant attacking threat

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong pick with a 58% chance, above the 50% implied by current , indicating positive value. Both teams demonstrate prolific scoring and attacking styles, supported by high shots and shots on target averages. The head-to-head history shows an average of 3.4 goals per game, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter. This combination of attacking form, player threat, and historical data underpins the confident model rating.

Model Chance58% model chance vs 50% implied (+8 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance58% model chance vs 50% implied (+8 pts)
Positive
Werder Bremen Goals For2.2 per game
Strong positive
1899 Hoffenheim Goals For2.0 per game
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.4 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Werder Bremen and 1899 Hoffenheim both possess strong offensive capabilities. Werder Bremen’s home form and Hoffenheim’s consistent goal-scoring create a scenario ripe for multiple goals. The data supports a high-scoring match, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“This fixture features two sides with potent attacks and a history of high-scoring games, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical and data-backed selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Werder Bremen averages 2.2 goals per game, Hoffenheim 2.0 in recent matches

Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates: 80% for Bremen, 100% for Hoffenheim

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.4 over last 10 meetings

Werder Bremen averages 16 shots and 7.8 on target per game, Hoffenheim 18.8 shots and 5.6 on target

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 3.4 per game, indicating a history of open, high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent likely to produce several goals in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Werder Bremen2.2
Avg goals scored
1899 Hoffenheim2
Werder Bremen1.8
Avg goals conceded
1899 Hoffenheim1.6
Werder Bremen100%
BTTS rate
1899 Hoffenheim80%
Werder Bremen80%
Over 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
Both teams have strong goal-scoring records and high BTTS rates, with Werder Bremen at 100% and Hoffenheim at 80%. The average goals per game in their head-to-head matches is 3.4, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and both teams finding the net in this encounter.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Bundesliga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Werder Bremen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Werder Bremen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Werder Bremen and 100% for 1899 Hoffenheim, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Werder Bremen

WDDWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 1L
24 Oct 2026A FSV Mainz 053-2
17 Oct 2026H SC Paderborn 072-2
09 Oct 2026A Borussia Dortmund2-2
19 Sep 2026H FC Augsburg3-2
12 Sep 2026A 1. FC Köln1-1

1899 Hoffenheim

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 4L
25 Oct 2026H Bayer Leverkusen3-0
18 Oct 2026A Borussia Mönchengladbach2-1
10 Oct 2026H Hamburger SV2-3
20 Sep 2026A SC Paderborn 071-3
12 Sep 2026H VfB Stuttgart2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Werder Bremen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Werder Bremen Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Recent form data shows Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim both scoring over 2 goals per game, with high over 2.5 goals rates of 80% and 100% respectively. This trend underlines their offensive efficiency and supports the likelihood of a match exceeding 3.5 goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Werder Bremen Over 2.5
100%1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 3.4 per game, indicating a history of open, high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent likely to produce several goals in this match.

Loading deeper match data…