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Niger crestNiger
v
Mauritania crestMauritania

Friendlies | Mon 08 Jun, 20:00

Niger v Mauritania Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 03:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Niger and Mauritania meet in a friendly where both sides have shown cautious attacking output recently. Niger's matches have featured limited goal action, while Mauritania's games have been somewhat more open but inconsistent. With no competitive stakes and limited recent goal-scoring form, this fixture is likely to be a tactical, low-tempo encounter with both teams focusing on defensive organization and measured build-up play.

BT4Y match pick

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Niger has not recorded any Over 2.5 Goals matches recently, indicating tight defensive displays.
  • Mauritania's recent matches show a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate but with defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Head-to-head history includes only one match with 2 total goals, supporting a low-scoring expectation.
  • Mauritania averages 2 shots per game but low shots on target, suggesting limited clear chances.
  • Both teams have low corners and card counts, reflecting controlled, less aggressive play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 66% chance for Under 2.5 Goals based on recent low scoring trends and limited attacking threat from both Niger and Mauritania. Niger's defensive solidity and Mauritania's modest shot volume underpin a likely cautious game with few clear-cut chances. The absence of significant data quality issues supports in this low-scoring forecast. While Mauritania has shown some openness, the overall tactical context and recent form favor a match with fewer goals.

Recent low scoring formNiger averages 0.33 goals per game; Mauritania 1 goal per game
Strong positive
Shot volume and qualityMauritania averages 2 shots per game with low shots on target
Positive
Head-to-head goal averageOnly 2 goals in last meeting
Positive
Defensive organizationLow cards and corners suggest controlled play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a cautious friendly where both Niger and Mauritania prioritize defensive structure over attacking risk. Niger's recent low goal concession and Mauritania's modest offensive output suggest Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible prediction. The data supports a tight, tactical match with limited clear chances and a low final scoreline.

Main risk

The main risk is Mauritania's occasional higher scoring matches which could increase goal totals unexpectedly.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Low-scoring tactical match

“This fixture looks set for a low-scoring affair given Niger's defensive discipline and Mauritania's limited shot threat. The teams' recent patterns indicate a controlled tempo with few goal-scoring opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Head-to-head history includes only one match with 2 total goals, supporting a low-scoring expectation.

Mauritania averages 2 shots per game but low shots on target, suggesting limited clear chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten matches, both teams show mixed Over 2.5 Goals trends with Mauritania at 50% and Niger at 0%.
  • This suggests that while Mauritania can be involved in higher scoring games, the overall tempo and defensive caution in this fixture favor a lower goal count, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals trend.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Niger0.33
Avg goals scored
Mauritania1
Niger0.67
Avg goals conceded
Mauritania1.5
Niger33%
BTTS rate
Mauritania100%
Niger0%
Over 2.5 goals
Mauritania50%

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Market odds

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Niger-
Avg corners for
Mauritania0
Niger-
Avg total corners
Mauritania0
Niger-
Avg yellow cards
Mauritania0
Niger-
Avg shots
Mauritania2

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Niger

DLD
Last 50W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 1L
05 Jun 2026A Benin1-1
31 Mar 2026H Togo0-1
27 Mar 2026A Libya0-0

Mauritania

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
05 Jun 2026A Angola1-1
27 Mar 2026A Argentina1-2

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Niger wins
0Draws
0Mauritania wins
05 Sep 2017Niger v Mauritania2-0

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies

Niger3
Played
Mauritania2
Niger0.3
Avg goals for
Mauritania1
Niger0.7
Avg goals against
Mauritania1.5
Niger1
Clean sheets
Mauritania0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Niger Over 2.5
50%Mauritania Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, both teams show mixed Over 2.5 Goals trends with Mauritania at 50% and Niger at 0%. This suggests that while Mauritania can be involved in higher scoring games, the overall tempo and defensive caution in this fixture favor a lower goal count, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals trend.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.