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Niger crestNiger
v
Mauritania crestMauritania

Friendlies | Mon 08 Jun, 20:00

Niger v Mauritania Stats

Data last updated: Mon 29 Jun 2026, 00:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Niger face Mauritania in Friendlies on Mon 08 Jun, 20:00. Both teams struggle massively to convert clinical chances, highlighted by Niger's five-game winless run and Mauritania's eight-match winless stretch. Niger maintain a compact baseline, successfully avoiding defensive collapses even during winless runs.

BT4Y match pick

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1/2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Under 2.5 Goals Market: This selection requires the cumulative scoreline of both teams to remain at two goals or fewer by the final whistle.
  • Mauritania are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Niger at 0.33.
  • BTTS rates of 33% for Niger and 100% for Mauritania show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Mauritania are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Niger at 0.33. Under 2.5 Goals Market: This selection requires the cumulative scoreline of both teams to remain at two goals or fewer by the final whistle.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Neutral
Mauritania are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 33% for Niger and 100% for Mauritania.Visible data support
Positive
Under 2.5 Goals Market: This selection requires the cumulative.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because under 2.5 Goals Market: This selection requires the cumulative scoreline of both teams to remain at two goals or fewer by the final whistle. Mauritania are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Niger at 0.33. Friendlies are often treated as football’s polite handshake, but this one has the feel of two sides trying to stop the room from whispering.

Main risk

Friendlies are often treated as football’s polite handshake, but this one has the feel of two sides trying to stop the room from whispering.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Under 2.5 Goals Market: This selection requires the cumulative scoreline of both teams to remain at two goals.

Mauritania are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Niger at 0.33.

BTTS rates of 33% for Niger and 100% for Mauritania show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Niger0.33
Avg goals scored
Mauritania1
Niger0.67
Avg goals conceded
Mauritania1.5
Niger33%
BTTS rate
Mauritania100%
Niger0%
Over 2.5 goals
Mauritania50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 67% · edge -0.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 72%
2
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Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Niger and 50% for Mauritania, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Niger v Mauritaniaplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 50% · edge +22.2 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Niger Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Niger to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Mauritania to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Mauritania Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Niger-
Avg corners for
Mauritania0
Niger-
Avg total corners
Mauritania0
Niger-
Avg yellow cards
Mauritania0
Niger-
Avg shots
Mauritania2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Niger

DLD
Last 50W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 1L
05 Jun 2026A Benin1-1
31 Mar 2026H Togo0-1
27 Mar 2026A Libya0-0

Mauritania

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
05 Jun 2026A Angola1-1
27 Mar 2026A Argentina1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 75% · edge +0.1 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Niger Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Niger to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Mauritania to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Mauritania Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Niger wins
0Draws
0Mauritania wins
05 Sep 2017Niger v Mauritania2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 50% · edge +22.2 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Niger to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Mauritania to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Niger4
Played
Mauritania3
Niger0.3
Avg goals for
Mauritania1
Niger0.8
Avg goals against
Mauritania1
Niger1
Clean sheets
Mauritania1
Best odds for this sectionNiger Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +7.7 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Niger to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Mauritania to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Mauritania Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Niger Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Niger Over 2.5
50%Mauritania Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Niger sit at 0% and Mauritania sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Niger v Mauritania prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Friendlies hubFriendlies fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Niger v Mauritaniaplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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