Football Stats Hub

Netherlands crestNetherlands
v
Uzbekistan crestUzbekistan

Friendlies | Mon 08 Jun, 19:45

Netherlands v Uzbekistan Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 03:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

The friendly match between Netherlands and Uzbekistan offers an intriguing tactical battle as both sides look to sharpen their attacking patterns ahead of more competitive fixtures. Netherlands, known for their possession-based style and wide attacking play, face an Uzbekistan side eager to test their defensive resilience and counter-attacking threat. Recent form data shows both teams have been involved in matches with moderate goal returns, but this fixture's open nature and emphasis on wing play suggest a lively contest with frequent set-piece opportunities and territorial exchanges. The match is set to showcase pressing intensity and attacking transitions, setting the stage for a high corner count.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Netherlands average 5.33 corners per game, reflecting their attacking width and pressure.
  • Uzbekistan contributes an average of 3 corners per game, indicating active wing play.
  • Both teams have moderate recent form in corners, supporting a total above 8.5.
  • Player data shows active wide players like D. Gakpo who generate key passes and fouls, increasing corner chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners, driven by Netherlands' strong wing play and Uzbekistan's defensive pressure yielding set-piece opportunities. Netherlands' average of over five corners per game combined with Uzbekistan's three corners per match supports a high total. Key players such as Dumfries and Gakpo create fouls and key passes that often lead to corners. The data quality is solid with balanced samples for both teams, reinforcing in this corner market selection.

Netherlands average corners5.33 per game
Strong positive
Uzbekistan average corners3 per game
Positive
Key players generating fouls and chancesDumfries (3.43 key passes/90), Gakpo (2.16 fouls won/90)
Strong positive
Model corner chance75%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively contest with Netherlands pushing wide through Dumfries and Gakpo, generating multiple corner opportunities. Uzbekistan's defensive efforts and counter-attacks will also contribute to set-piece situations. The combined attacking styles and recent corner averages suggest the over 8.5 corners bet is tactically and statistically sound for this friendly.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendly matches can sometimes lack intensity or tactical discipline, which may reduce corner frequency compared to competitive fixtures.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market tactical and statistical insight

“The attacking width and pressing style of Netherlands combined with Uzbekistan's willingness to contest possession create a fertile environment for corners. This market reflects the tactical battle on the flanks and the likelihood of frequent set-piece situations.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Netherlands average 5.33 corners per game, reflecting their attacking width and pressure.

Uzbekistan contributes an average of 3 corners per game, indicating active wing play.

Both teams have moderate recent form in corners, supporting a total above 8.5.

Player data shows active wide players like D. Gakpo who generate key passes and fouls, increasing corner chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have shown tendencies for moderate to high goal totals, but more importantly, the tempo and wing usage suggest frequent crossing and defensive clearances.
  • This pattern aligns with a higher corner count, making the over 2.5 goals trend a useful backdrop for understanding attacking intent.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Netherlands5.33
Avg corners for
Uzbekistan3
Netherlands10.33
Avg total corners
Uzbekistan10
Netherlands0
Avg yellow cards
Uzbekistan2
Netherlands11
Avg shots
Uzbekistan6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 51% · edge +24.5 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Netherlands averages over 11 shots per game with 4 on target, showing attacking intent that often leads to corners. Uzbekistan's defensive fouling rate and average of 2 yellow cards per game indicate pressure that can result in set-piece situations. The corner count aligns with these attacking and defensive patterns.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Netherlands1
Avg goals scored
Uzbekistan2
Netherlands1
Avg goals conceded
Uzbekistan2
Netherlands67%
BTTS rate
Uzbekistan67%
Netherlands33%
Over 2.5 goals
Uzbekistan67%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
While goals and BTTS rates are moderate, the focus on wing play and fouling patterns suggests more set-piece opportunities than goals. Both teams have a 67% BTTS rate, indicating open play, but the corner market better captures the tactical dynamics of flank attacks and defensive pressure.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionUzbekistan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 16% · edge +37.7 pts
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Uzbekistan to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Netherlands Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
The over 8.5 corners market is supported by a strong of 75%, reflecting the attacking tendencies and wing play of Netherlands and Uzbekistan. The price is reasonable with no warning flags, making this a standard stake opportunity based on solid data and tactical reasoning.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Netherlands

LDW
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
03 Jun 2026H Algeria0-1
31 Mar 2026H Ecuador1-1
27 Mar 2026H Norway2-1

Uzbekistan

LWD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
02 Jun 2026A Canada0-2
30 Jan 2026H FC Urartu4-2
26 Jan 2026H China2-2
Best odds for this sectionUzbekistan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 16% · edge +37.7 pts
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Uzbekistan to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
Netherlands Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Netherlands to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Recent form shows Netherlands averaging 5.33 corners and Uzbekistan 3 per game, consistent with the model's 75% chance for over 8.5 corners. Both teams have been involved in matches with active wing play and set-piece creation, reinforcing in this market for the upcoming friendly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Netherlands wins
0Draws
0Uzbekistan wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Uzbekistan to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Netherlands to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
No previous meetings exist between Netherlands and Uzbekistan, so head-to-head data offers no direct support. The corner market rationale relies on current form, player roles, and tactical styles rather than historical encounters.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Netherlands3
Played
Uzbekistan3
Netherlands1
Avg goals for
Uzbekistan2
Netherlands1
Avg goals against
Uzbekistan2
Netherlands0
Clean sheets
Uzbekistan0
Best odds for this sectionUzbekistan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 16% · edge +37.7 pts
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Uzbekistan to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
10
Check odds @ 10
Netherlands Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Netherlands to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Season-long data confirms Netherlands' attacking style generates a high corner count, with an average above five per match. Uzbekistan's defensive approach yields a moderate corner count, contributing to a combined total that justifies the over 8.5 corners selection based on sustained attacking and defensive patterns.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Netherlands Over 2.5
67%Uzbekistan Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have shown tendencies for moderate to high goal totals, but more importantly, the tempo and wing usage suggest frequent crossing and defensive clearances. This pattern aligns with a higher corner count, making the over 2.5 goals trend a useful backdrop for understanding attacking intent.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.