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MSV Duisburg crestMSV Duisburg
v
SV Elversberg crestSV Elversberg

DFB Pokal | Sat 22 Aug, 14:30

MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

MSV Duisburg face SV Elversberg in DFB Pokal on Sat 22 Aug, 14:30.

BT4Y best bet

MSV Duisburg to Win

  • At 3.5, MSV Duisburg to Win implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for MSV Duisburg to Win sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +14.4 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: MSV Duisburg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

What To Watch In The Data

MSV Duisburg to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1MSV Duisburg wins
    1Draws
    2SV Elversberg wins
    25 Apr 2023MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg2-2
    08 Oct 2022SV Elversberg v MSV Duisburg3-0
    26 Mar 2014MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg3-0
    05 Oct 2013SV Elversberg v MSV Duisburg1-0
    Market aligned with main pickMSV Duisburg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for MSV Duisburg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    MSV Duisburg

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for MSV Duisburg yet.

    SV Elversberg

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for SV Elversberg yet.

    Market aligned with main pickMSV Duisburg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    MSV Duisburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    MSV Duisburg-
    Avg goals scored
    SV Elversberg-
    MSV Duisburg-
    Avg goals conceded
    SV Elversberg-
    MSV Duisburg-
    BTTS rate
    SV Elversberg-
    MSV Duisburg-
    Over 2.5 goals
    SV Elversberg-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMSV Duisburg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    MSV Duisburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    MSV Duisburg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    DFB Pokal

    MSV Duisburg0
    Played
    SV Elversberg0
    MSV Duisburg0
    Avg goals for
    SV Elversberg0
    MSV Duisburg0
    Avg goals against
    SV Elversberg0
    MSV Duisburg0
    Clean sheets
    SV Elversberg0
    Market aligned with main pickMSV Duisburg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    MSV Duisburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Season data supports MSV Duisburg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -MSV Duisburg Over 2.5
    -SV Elversberg Over 2.5
    2.75H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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