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Motherwell crestMotherwell
v
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:30

Motherwell v SC Freiburg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 21:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Motherwell face SC Freiburg in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 20 Aug, 19:30. Motherwell have won both Conference League home qualifiers this season 2-0, giving them a useful pattern of taking control at Fir Park without conceding. Motherwell vs Freiburg: Fir Park Form Meets Freiburg’s Away Vulnerability.

BT4Y best bet

If one side fails to score

  • At 9/5, If one side fails to score implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 39%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Motherwell need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Motherwell on 10 and SC Freiburg on 0.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 39% for If one side fails to score sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Motherwell need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Motherwell on 10 and SC Freiburg on 0. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price39% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Neutral
Motherwell need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Motherwell Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Motherwell need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Motherwell on 10 and SC Freiburg on 0. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

If one side fails to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Motherwell need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Motherwell on 10 and SC Freiburg on 0.

What To Watch In The Data

If one side fails to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Motherwell

WDWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
13 Aug 2026H HJK Helsinki2-0
06 Aug 2026A HJK Helsinki1-1
30 Jul 2026A HB Torshavn3-0
23 Jul 2026H HB Torshavn2-0

SC Freiburg

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for SC Freiburg yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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Motherwell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Motherwell to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12SC Freiburg000000
UEFA Europa Conference League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Motherwell2
Avg goals scored
SC Freiburg-
Motherwell0.25
Avg goals conceded
SC Freiburg-
Motherwell25%
BTTS rate
SC Freiburg-
Motherwell25%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMotherwell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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Motherwell to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Motherwell Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Motherwell wins
0Draws
0SC Freiburg wins
Market aligned with main pickMotherwell to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Motherwell to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Motherwell3
Avg corners for
SC Freiburg-
Motherwell9
Avg total corners
SC Freiburg-
Motherwell1.5
Avg yellow cards
SC Freiburg-
Motherwell0
Avg shots
SC Freiburg-
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 55% · edge +1.9 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Motherwell6
Played
SC Freiburg2
Motherwell1.7
Avg goals for
SC Freiburg3.5
Motherwell1.3
Avg goals against
SC Freiburg1
Motherwell3
Clean sheets
SC Freiburg0
Market aligned with main pickMotherwell Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
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Motherwell to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Season data supports Motherwell Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Motherwell Over 2.5
-SC Freiburg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.