Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty

UEFA Champions League | Tue 04 Aug, 18:30

Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty Stats

Data last updated: Mon 03 Aug 2026, 04:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levski Sofia host Kairat Almaty in a UEFA Champions League qualifier where tactical control and set-piece battles are likely to define the contest. Levski Sofia's recent form shows a balanced attack with an average of 7 corners per game, while Kairat Almaty's corner data is limited but their defensive solidity suggests a cautious approach. Both teams have shown moderate goal-scoring but with a tendency towards controlled tempo, increasing the likelihood of sustained pressure and multiple corner opportunities. The stakes of progressing in Europe add intensity to set-piece duels and territorial contests.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

Levski Sofia average 7 corners per match, indicating frequent attacking pressure
Kairat Almaty’s defensive style may concede corners under sustained pressure
Recent form data shows both teams favor controlled build-up, leading to set-piece chances
UEFA Champions League qualifiers often see tactical battles with many corners from wing play

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 75% chance to Over 8.5 Corners, reflecting Levski Sofia's strong corner rate and the expected tactical dynamics of this European qualifier. Levski’s average of 7 corners per game combined with Kairat’s defensive posture suggests frequent corner situations. The match context of high stakes and territorial battles supports this. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation. Limited corner data for Kairat adds some uncertainty, but Levski’s consistent corner production anchors the forecast.

Levski Sofia corner average7 per game

Strong positive

Match tactical contextHigh stakes, territorial pressure

Positive

Kairat defensive styleLikely to concede corners

Positive

Data completenessLimited Kairat corner data

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match shaped by territorial control and set-piece battles, with Levski Sofia’s attacking wing play generating multiple corners. The data supports a high corner count given Levski’s average and Kairat’s defensive tendencies. This bet aligns with the tactical and statistical profile of a tight European qualifier where corners often accumulate from sustained pressure.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market rationale

“Levski Sofia’s consistent corner production combined with Kairat’s defensive approach sets the stage for a high-corner match. The tactical intensity of Champions League qualifiers typically inflates set-piece counts, making Over 8.5 Corners a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Levski Sofia average 7 corners per match, indicating frequent attacking pressure

Kairat Almaty’s defensive style may concede corners under sustained pressure

Recent form data shows both teams favor controlled build-up, leading to set-piece chances

UEFA Champions League qualifiers often see tactical battles with many corners from wing play

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

Over the last five matches, the trend for Over 2.5 Goals is moderate, reflecting controlled tempo and defensive discipline.
This supports a scenario where goals are limited but attacking pressure leads to set-pieces and corners, aligning with the Over 8.5 Corners expectation.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Levski Sofia2

Avg goals scored

Kairat Almaty1.25

Levski Sofia0.75

Avg goals conceded

Kairat Almaty0.5

Levski Sofia50%

BTTS rate

Kairat Almaty25%

Levski Sofia50%

Over 2.5 goals

Kairat Almaty25%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.7 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Goal scoring appears controlled with Levski Sofia averaging 2 goals per game and Kairat Almaty 1.25, while BTTS rates are moderate to low. This suggests a tactical game with fewer open chances but sustained pressure, which often leads to corners rather than high goal totals.

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Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League hub corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Kairat Almaty Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.45

Check odds @ 3.45

Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced with a solid of 75%, reflecting Levski Sofia’s strong corner output and the expected tactical battle. The price appears fair with no warning flags, suggesting a standard stake approach. Improvement in or clearer data on Kairat’s corner concession would enhance value.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Levski Sofia7

Avg corners for

Kairat Almaty-

Levski Sofia9

Avg total corners

Kairat Almaty-

Levski Sofia0

Avg yellow cards

Kairat Almaty-

Levski Sofia12

Avg shots

Kairat Almaty-

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%

Check odds @ 2

Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

Check odds @ 3

Levski Sofia’s average of 7 corners per match and 12 shots per game indicates sustained attacking pressure, likely generating set-piece opportunities. Discipline is tight with low yellow card averages, implying a focus on tactical fouls and controlled aggression rather than reckless challenges.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Levski Sofia

DWWD

Last 52W 2D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 0L

29 Jul 2026A Universitatea Craiova2-2

22 Jul 2026H Universitatea Craiova1-0

14 Jul 2026H Borac Banja Luka4-0

07 Jul 2026A Borac Banja Luka1-1

Kairat Almaty

WLWW

Last 53W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 0D 1L

29 Jul 2026H Omonia Nicosia1-0

22 Jul 2026A Omonia Nicosia0-1

15 Jul 2026A Sutjeska2-0

08 Jul 2026H Sutjeska2-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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Kairat Almaty Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.45

Check odds @ 3.45

Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Levski Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Recent form data shows Levski Sofia averaging 7 corners per game and a 50% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating active attacking phases. Kairat Almaty’s lower goal and BTTS rates suggest a more defensive approach, but Levski’s corner control in recent matches supports the Over 8.5 Corners pick.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Levski Sofia wins

0Draws

0Kairat Almaty wins

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.7 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Levski Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

No previous meetings exist between Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty, so head-to-head data offers no direct guidance. The focus shifts to current form, tactical style, and statistical profiles to assess corner potential.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Levski Sofia4

Played

Kairat Almaty4

Levski Sofia2

Avg goals for

Kairat Almaty1.5

Levski Sofia0.8

Avg goals against

Kairat Almaty0.5

Levski Sofia2

Clean sheets

Kairat Almaty2

Best odds for this sectionKairat Almaty Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts

3.45

Check odds @ 3.45

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Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%

5.75

Check odds @ 5.75

Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Levski Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Season-long statistics confirm Levski Sofia’s strong corner generation, averaging 7 per match, which is well above typical European qualifier levels. Kairat Almaty’s defensive solidity and lower goal concession rate suggest they may concede corners under pressure, reinforcing the likelihood of a high corner count.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Levski Sofia Over 2.5

25%Kairat Almaty Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches, the trend for Over 2.5 Goals is moderate, reflecting controlled tempo and defensive discipline. This supports a scenario where goals are limited but attacking pressure leads to set-pieces and corners, aligning with the Over 8.5 Corners expectation.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty Stats

Match Report

Over 8.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty

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Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty Stats

Match Report

Over 8.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Levski Sofia

Kairat Almaty

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