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Hungary crestHungary
v
Kazakhstan crestKazakhstan

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 18:00

Hungary v Kazakhstan Stats

Data last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026, 02:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hungary face Kazakhstan in Friendlies on Tue 09 Jun, 18:00. Hungary have scored eight goals in their last six matches, keeping their general fixture total inside moderate parameters. That result followed a mixed run: wins over Comoros and Namibia, a defeat to the Faroe Islands, and a heavy 4-1 loss to Belarus.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Hungary to Win & Under 3

  • At 1/4, Hungary Win implies roughly 80%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 72%.
  • Concurrently, Kazakhstan have suffered defensive vulnerabilities, conceding ten times in their past six outings.
  • Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kazakhstan.
  • Hungary have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Hungary Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Hungary to Win & Under 3 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 80% while the model sits nearer 72% (-8.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +24.6 pts edge at 2.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 72% for Hungary Win sits against roughly 80% implied by the current price. Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kazakhstan. Concurrently, Kazakhstan have suffered defensive vulnerabilities, conceding ten times in their past six outings.

Model chance vs price72% model chance against roughly 80% implied
Negative
Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Hungary have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Concurrently, Kazakhstan have suffered defensive vulnerabilities, conceding ten times.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hungary Win is the preferred angle because concurrently, Kazakhstan have suffered defensive vulnerabilities, conceding ten times in their past six outings. Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kazakhstan. Hungary need rhythm, but they also need evidence.

Main risk

Hungary need rhythm, but they also need evidence.

Key Data Signals

Hungary Win evidence

Concurrently, Kazakhstan have suffered defensive vulnerabilities, conceding ten times in their past six outings.

Hungary have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kazakhstan.

Hungary have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Hungary Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Hungary Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hungary1
    Avg goals scored
    Kazakhstan1
    Hungary0.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Kazakhstan1
    Hungary33%
    BTTS rate
    Kazakhstan100%
    Hungary33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Kazakhstan0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 72% vs implied 48% · edge +24.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 80% · edge -8.4 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Hungary Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Hungary to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Hungary5
    Avg corners for
    Kazakhstan-
    Hungary10.67
    Avg total corners
    Kazakhstan-
    Hungary1.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Kazakhstan-
    Hungary15.33
    Avg shots
    Kazakhstan-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hungary

    WDW
    Last 52W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 0L
    05 Jun 2026H Finland2-1
    31 Mar 2026H Greece0-0
    28 Mar 2026H Slovenia1-0

    Kazakhstan

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    06 Jun 2026A Armenia1-1
    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 80% · edge -8.4 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.05
    Check odds @ 1.05
    Hungary Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Hungary wins
    0Draws
    1Kazakhstan wins
    23 Mar 2018Hungary v Kazakhstan2-3
    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 80% · edge -8.4 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Hungary to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Hungary4
    Played
    Kazakhstan2
    Hungary1.5
    Avg goals for
    Kazakhstan1
    Hungary0.5
    Avg goals against
    Kazakhstan2
    Hungary2
    Clean sheets
    Kazakhstan0
    Market aligned with main pickHungary to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 80% · edge -8.4 pts
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Hungary Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Season data supports Hungary to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    33%Hungary Over 2.5
    0%Kazakhstan Over 2.5
    5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hungary sit at 33% and Kazakhstan sit at 0% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.