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France crestFrance
v
Northern Ireland crestNorthern Ireland

Friendlies | Mon 08 Jun, 20:10

France v Northern Ireland Stats

Data last updated: Mon 29 Jun 2026, 03:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

France face Northern Ireland in Friendlies on Mon 08 Jun, 20:10. France look determined to execute an extensive tactical layout reset after their rotated squad stumbled in a recent fixture. France finished World Cup qualifying completely unbeaten, securing five definitive wins to cement supreme command over their qualifying sector layout.

BT4Y best bet

Precisely require? The Match Result & Both Teams to Score: No market requires the chosen team to win the game while maintaining a complete clean sheet

  • At 9/5, France Win implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • If O’Neill’s side can make the first half uncomfortable, the home crowd may grow impatient.
  • France have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Northern Ireland.
  • Northern Ireland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the France Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for France Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. France have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Northern Ireland. If O’Neill’s side can make the first half uncomfortable, the home crowd may grow impatient.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
France have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Northern Ireland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
If O’Neill’s side can make the first half uncomfortable.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: France Win is the preferred angle because if O’Neill’s side can make the first half uncomfortable, the home crowd may grow impatient. France have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Northern Ireland. Youth can bring fearlessness, but it can also bring those “please don’t try that pass there” moments that age tends to iron out.

Main risk

Youth can bring fearlessness, but it can also bring those “please don’t try that pass there” moments that age tends to iron out.

Key Data Signals

France Win evidence

If O’Neill’s side can make the first half uncomfortable, the home crowd may grow impatient.

France have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Northern Ireland.

Northern Ireland have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the France Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

France Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    France2
    Avg goals scored
    Northern Ireland1
    France1.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Northern Ireland0.5
    France100%
    BTTS rate
    Northern Ireland50%
    France100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Northern Ireland0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 42% · edge +34 pts
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Friendlies fixtures and predictionsFrance v Northern Ireland predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 89% · edge -34.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 62%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    France to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    France5
    Avg corners for
    Northern Ireland1.5
    France10.33
    Avg total corners
    Northern Ireland8.5
    France2
    Avg yellow cards
    Northern Ireland1
    France12
    Avg shots
    Northern Ireland9.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 62%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    France

    LWW
    Last 52W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 1L
    04 Jun 2026H Ivory Coast1-2
    29 Mar 2026A Colombia3-1
    26 Mar 2026A Brazil2-1

    Northern Ireland

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    04 Jun 2026H Guinea1-0
    31 Mar 2026A Wales1-1
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 89% · edge -34.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
    1.01
    Check odds @ 1.01
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0France wins
    0Draws
    0Northern Ireland wins
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 89% · edge -34.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for France to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    France4
    Played
    Northern Ireland3
    France2.3
    Avg goals for
    Northern Ireland1
    France1.3
    Avg goals against
    Northern Ireland1.3
    France0
    Clean sheets
    Northern Ireland1
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 89% · edge -34.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Season data supports France to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%France Over 2.5
    0%Northern Ireland Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: France sit at 100% and Northern Ireland sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    France v Northern Ireland prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Friendlies hubFriendlies fixtures and predictionsFrance v Northern Ireland predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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