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Belarus crestBelarus
v
Burkina Faso crestBurkina Faso

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 17:30

Belarus v Burkina Faso Stats

Data last updated: Wed 17 Jun 2026, 15:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Belarus face Burkina Faso in Friendlies on Tue 09 Jun, 17:30. Burkina Faso compiled a solid 21 points in CAF Group A, highlighting that their foundation possesses genuine competitive quality. Belarus have found real rhythm under Viktor Goncharenko, building a five-match unbeaten run alongside three successive friendly victories.

BT4Y best bet

Requires predicting the final outcome of the match within standard regulations: a home win (1), a draw (X), or an away win (2)

  • At 6/5, Belarus Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Belarus will not want that attacking to drift away.
  • Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Burkina Faso.
  • Belarus have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Belarus Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Belarus Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Burkina Faso. Belarus will not want that attacking to drift away.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Belarus have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Belarus will not want that attacking to drift away.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Belarus Win is the preferred angle because belarus will not want that attacking to drift away. Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Burkina Faso. That does not make the match simple — friendlies rarely behave themselves — but it does give the evening a clear tension.

Main risk

That does not make the match simple — friendlies rarely behave themselves — but it does give the evening a clear tension.

Key Data Signals

Belarus Win evidence

Belarus will not want that attacking to drift away.

Belarus have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Burkina Faso.

Belarus have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Belarus Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Belarus Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Belarus4
    Avg corners for
    Burkina Faso6
    Belarus9
    Avg total corners
    Burkina Faso11
    Belarus4
    Avg yellow cards
    Burkina Faso3
    Belarus13
    Avg shots
    Burkina Faso9

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Belarus2.33
    Avg goals scored
    Burkina Faso2
    Belarus0.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Burkina Faso1.33
    Belarus67%
    BTTS rate
    Burkina Faso33%
    Belarus67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Burkina Faso67%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.7 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
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    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.1 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Belarus to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Belarus

    WWW
    Last 53W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 0L
    05 Jun 2026H Syria4-1
    29 Mar 2026A Armenia2-1
    26 Mar 2026A Cyprus1-0

    Burkina Faso

    LDW
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    05 Jun 2026A Russia0-3
    31 Mar 2026H Guinea-Bissau1-1
    28 Mar 2026H Guinea-Bissau5-0
    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.1 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Belarus wins
    0Draws
    0Burkina Faso wins
    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.1 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Belarus to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Belarus4
    Played
    Burkina Faso4
    Belarus2.3
    Avg goals for
    Burkina Faso2
    Belarus1
    Avg goals against
    Burkina Faso1.5
    Belarus1
    Clean sheets
    Burkina Faso1
    Market aligned with main pickBelarus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +34.1 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Season data supports Belarus to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Belarus Over 2.5
    67%Burkina Faso Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Belarus sit at 67% and Burkina Faso sit at 67%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.