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Al-Ittihad FC crestAl-Ittihad FC
v
Al Kholood crestAl Kholood

Pro League | Mon 04 May, 19:00

Al-Ittihad FC v Al Kholood Stats

Data last updated: Wed 15 Jul 2026, 06:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Ittihad FC face Al Kholood in Pro League on Mon 04 May, 19:00. Al Ittihad, still searching for consistency after a season that hasn’t quite lived up to expectations, host an Al Kholood side fighting tooth and nail to stay in the division.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Al-Ittihad FC Win

  • At 1.48, Al-Ittihad FC Win implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • Al Kholood have conceded sixteen goals in six games but remain difficult to beat.
  • Al-Ittihad FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Al Kholood.
  • Al-Ittihad FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Al-Ittihad FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Al-Ittihad FC sit 5 in the table, while Al Kholood sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Al-Ittihad FC Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 68% while the model sits nearer 52% (-15.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +42.7 pts edge at 3.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 52% for Al-Ittihad FC Win sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Al-Ittihad FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Al Kholood. Al Kholood have conceded sixteen goals in six games but remain difficult to beat.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Negative
Al-Ittihad FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
Al-Ittihad FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Al Kholood have conceded sixteen goals in six games.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Al-Ittihad FC Win is the preferred angle because al Kholood have conceded sixteen goals in six games but remain difficult to beat. Al-Ittihad FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Al Kholood. However, Al Kholood are resilient, losing once in five games.

Main risk

However, Al Kholood are resilient, losing once in five games.

Key Data Signals

Al-Ittihad FC Win evidence

Al Kholood have conceded sixteen goals in six games but remain difficult to beat.

Al-Ittihad FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Al Kholood.

Al-Ittihad FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Al-Ittihad FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Al-Ittihad FC sit 5 in the table, while Al Kholood sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Al-Ittihad FC Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Al-Ittihad FC5.2
    Avg corners for
    Al Kholood3.8
    Al-Ittihad FC10.6
    Avg total corners
    Al Kholood8.6
    Al-Ittihad FC1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Al Kholood2.6
    Al-Ittihad FC9.8
    Avg shots
    Al Kholood6.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +14.4 pts
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Al-Ittihad FC1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Al Kholood1.2
    Al-Ittihad FC2
    Avg goals conceded
    Al Kholood2.4
    Al-Ittihad FC60%
    BTTS rate
    Al Kholood80%
    Al-Ittihad FC60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Al Kholood80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 85%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 68% · edge -15.4 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Al-Ittihad FC to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Al-Ittihad FC

    WLWLL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    29 Apr 2026A Al Taawon2-0
    08 Apr 2026H NEOM3-4
    03 Apr 2026H Al-Hazm1-0
    13 Mar 2026A Al Riyadh1-3
    06 Mar 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah1-3

    Al Kholood

    DWLDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    30 Apr 2026H Al-Fayha1-1
    11 Apr 2026A Al Taawon2-1
    08 Apr 2026A Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-6
    03 Apr 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat2-2
    12 Mar 2026A Al-Hazm1-2
    Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 68% · edge -15.4 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Al-Ittihad FC wins
    2Draws
    0Al Kholood wins
    18 Mar 2026Al Kholood v Al-Ittihad FC1-1
    09 Jan 2026Al Kholood v Al-Ittihad FC0-4
    01 Feb 2025Al-Ittihad FC v Al Kholood4-3
    24 Aug 2024Al Kholood v Al-Ittihad FC0-1
    26 Sep 2023Al Kholood v Al-Ittihad FC1-1
    Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 68% · edge -15.4 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Al-Ittihad FC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Pro League

    Al-Ittihad FC34
    Played
    Al Kholood34
    Al-Ittihad FC1.6
    Avg goals for
    Al Kholood1.1
    Al-Ittihad FC1.4
    Avg goals against
    Al Kholood1.8
    Al-Ittihad FC9
    Clean sheets
    Al Kholood6
    Market aligned with main pickAl-Ittihad FC to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 68% · edge -15.4 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    Al-Ittihad FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Season data supports Al-Ittihad FC to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Al-Ittihad FC5534167117
    14Al Kholood33349619-22
    Al-Ittihad FC sit in position 5, while Al Kholood sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Al-Ittihad FC Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Al-Ittihad FC Over 2.5
    80%Al Kholood Over 2.5
    3.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Al-Ittihad FC sit at 60% and Al Kholood sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.