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FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati
v
DC United crestDC United

Major League Soccer | Sun 06 Sep, 00:30

FC Cincinnati v DC United Stats

Data last updated: Sun 06 Sep 2026, 07:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Cincinnati hosts DC United in a Major League Soccer clash where recent form and tactical setups suggest a competitive encounter. FC Cincinnati has shown resilience with 8 points from recent matches, while DC United lags with just 3 points, reflecting a gap in momentum. Both teams have similar defensive records, but Cincinnati's home advantage and slightly superior attacking output position them as favorites. The match stakes involve Cincinnati aiming to consolidate their mid-table standing, while DC United seeks to reverse their poor run. Tactical discipline and finishing efficiency will be key in this balanced contest.

BT4Y best bet

FC Cincinnati Draw No Bet

  • FC Cincinnati has earned 8 points recently, showing better form than DC United's 3 points.
  • Both teams average 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating potential for open play.
  • FC Cincinnati scores 1.6 goals per game, nearly double DC United's 0.8 average.
  • DC United's top attacker T. Baribo has 12 goals and 1.1 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  • FC Cincinnati ranks 6th with 31 points, ahead of DC United's 11th place and 25 points.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors FC Cincinnati Draw No Bet with a strong 77.6% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and home advantage. The of 27.1% indicates the of 1.98 underestimate Cincinnati's likelihood to avoid defeat. Cincinnati's better goal-scoring rate and points tally support this , while DC United's struggles and lower attacking output reduce their threat. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, reinforcing the reliability of this pick. This bet offers a balanced risk profile with a good chance of return based on current team dynamics and statistical trends.

Model Chance77.6%
Strong positive
Value Edge27.1%
Strong positive
Recent FormFC Cincinnati stronger (8 vs 3 points)
Positive
Goals ForFC Cincinnati 1.6 vs DC United 0.8
Positive
Data QualityNo limitations
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC Cincinnati's recent form and home advantage make them a solid choice to avoid defeat against DC United. Their higher scoring rate and points accumulation provide a tactical and statistical edge, suggesting they can control the match tempo and limit DC United's opportunities effectively.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“FC Cincinnati's ability to capitalize on home conditions and maintain defensive solidity underpins their strong chance to at least avoid defeat in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

FC Cincinnati Draw No Bet evidence

FC Cincinnati has earned 8 points recently, showing better form than DC United's 3 points.

Both teams average 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating potential for open play.

FC Cincinnati scores 1.6 goals per game, nearly double DC United's 0.8 average.

DC United's top attacker T. Baribo has 12 goals and 1.1 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Cincinnati Draw No Bet notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a moderately open game with goal opportunities.
  • Both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rates at 60% align with this trend, suggesting the match could feature multiple goals driven by attacking tempo and transitional play.
  • This trend supports an expectation of offensive engagement from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Cincinnati1.6
Avg goals scored
DC United0.8
FC Cincinnati1.8
Avg goals conceded
DC United1.8
FC Cincinnati80%
BTTS rate
DC United60%
FC Cincinnati60%
Over 2.5 goals
DC United60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, and FC Cincinnati boasts an 80% BTTS rate compared to DC United's 60%. This suggests a match with attacking intent and goal-scoring opportunities on both sides, supported by their offensive and defensive stats, indicating potential for multiple goals and both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
FC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The for FC Cincinnati Draw No Bet at 1.98 reflect a market underestimation of their chances, given the model's 77.6% probability. This creates a clear value opportunity, as the pricing does not fully account for Cincinnati's home form and recent momentum. The market is favorable for backing Cincinnati with a safety net against a draw, aligning well with statistical evidence.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Cincinnati5
Avg corners for
DC United6.5
FC Cincinnati11.25
Avg total corners
DC United12
FC Cincinnati2
Avg yellow cards
DC United1
FC Cincinnati14.25
Avg shots
DC United15.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge -0.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Average shots per game are similar, with FC Cincinnati at 14.25 and DC United at 14, but Cincinnati has a higher shots on target average (6.5 vs 4.2), indicating better finishing quality. Both teams average around 5 corners per game, showing balanced territorial play. Card averages are moderate, with Cincinnati slightly higher, suggesting a competitive but controlled match environment.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Cincinnati

LDWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
30 Aug 2026A Nashville SC0-4
23 Aug 2026H Seattle Sounders1-1
20 Aug 2026H New York City FC2-1
16 Aug 2026A Orlando City SC1-1
02 Aug 2026H San Jose Earthquakes4-2

DC United

DLLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
30 Aug 2026H Los Angeles FC0-0
23 Aug 2026A Charlotte1-3
20 Aug 2026H New England Revolution0-3
16 Aug 2026A CF Montreal1-1
02 Aug 2026H Nashville SC2-2
Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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FC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
FC Cincinnati's recent form is markedly better, securing 8 points compared to DC United's 3 in the same period. This momentum difference reflects Cincinnati's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive resilience, while DC United struggles to find consistency. The form gap supports in Cincinnati avoiding defeat, especially playing at home where they have been more stable.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4FC Cincinnati wins
2Draws
4DC United wins
01 Jun 2025FC Cincinnati v DC United1-2
13 Apr 2025DC United v FC Cincinnati0-1
04 Jul 2024DC United v FC Cincinnati2-3
10 Mar 2024FC Cincinnati v DC United0-0
25 Jun 2023DC United v FC Cincinnati3-0
07 May 2023FC Cincinnati v DC United2-1
Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 10 previous meetings between FC Cincinnati and DC United have averaged 2.9 goals per game, showing a history of relatively open contests. While this supports the likelihood of goals, the head-to-head record does not strongly favor either side, making recent form and home advantage more decisive factors for this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati22
Played
DC United22
FC Cincinnati2.2
Avg goals for
DC United1.3
FC Cincinnati2.3
Avg goals against
DC United1.6
FC Cincinnati2
Clean sheets
DC United5
Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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FC Cincinnati to WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over the season, FC Cincinnati averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 1.8, showing a balanced but slightly positive attacking profile. DC United's scoring is lower at 0.8 goals per game with similar goals conceded, highlighting offensive struggles. These season-long stats reinforce Cincinnati's advantage in creating and converting chances, underpinning the Draw No Bet selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6FC Cincinnati3122877-2
12DC United25225107-8
FC Cincinnati sits 6th with 31 points, comfortably ahead of DC United in 11th with 25 points. This gap reflects Cincinnati's stronger campaign and better consistency. While not decisive alone, the standings contextualize the form and levels, suggesting Cincinnati has more to play for and a psychological edge in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
60%DC United Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a moderately open game with goal opportunities. Both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rates at 60% align with this trend, suggesting the match could feature multiple goals driven by attacking tempo and transitional play. This trend supports an expectation of offensive engagement from both sides.

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