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Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor
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Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of Midlothian

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 22 Oct, 17:45

Trabzonspor v Heart Of Midlothian Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 14:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Trabzonspor hosts Heart Of Midlothian in a UEFA Europa Conference League clash where attacking intent is expected to dominate. Trabzonspor’s recent matches have consistently produced high goal counts, with a perfect record of over 2.5 goals in their last outings, while Heart Of Midlothian also shows signs of offensive activity despite a more modest scoring rate. Both teams have conceded goals regularly, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. The fixture’s stakes and contrasting styles set the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter under floodlights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Trabzonspor has a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.
  • Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.33 goals per game but concedes similarly, hinting at open play.
  • Trabzonspor averages 22 shots and 8 shots on target per game, indicating strong offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate, showing defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
  • Player stats highlight multiple attacking threats for Trabzonspor, increasing goal potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 48.5% chance for over 3.5 goals, slightly above the market implied probability, indicating a small positive value. Trabzonspor’s perfect over 2.5 goals rate and high shot volume support a high-scoring outlook. Heart Of Midlothian’s openness in defense and willingness to attack add to the goal potential. The presence of prolific attackers like P. Onuachu and Franculino Djú, combined with Heart Of Midlothian’s defensive concessions, underpin the expectation for multiple goals. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Trabzonspor Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Heart Of Midlothian Defensive Concession1.33 goals against per game
Positive
Trabzonspor Shots per Game22 shots, 8 on target
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance48.5% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+0.9 pts)
Positive
Heart Of Midlothian BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open, attacking match with Trabzonspor’s potent offense likely to create multiple chances against Heart Of Midlothian’s vulnerable defense. The statistical trends and player profiles suggest a high-scoring game, making over 3.5 goals a compelling option based on attacking momentum and defensive frailties.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking threat and defensive vulnerability

“Trabzonspor’s offensive firepower combined with Heart Of Midlothian’s defensive lapses sets the stage for a goal-rich encounter. The attacking roles and shot volumes from Trabzonspor’s frontline are key to unlocking this fixture’s scoring potential.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Trabzonspor has a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.

Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.33 goals per game but concedes similarly, hinting at open play.

Trabzonspor averages 22 shots and 8 shots on target per game, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate, showing defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, Trabzonspor has consistently produced games with more than 2.5 goals, indicating a fast tempo and attacking style.
  • The lack of head-to-head history means current form and attacking tendencies are the best indicators for goal trends in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Trabzonspor4
Avg goals scored
Heart Of Midlothian1.33
Trabzonspor2
Avg goals conceded
Heart Of Midlothian1.33
Trabzonspor100%
BTTS rate
Heart Of Midlothian100%
Trabzonspor100%
Over 2.5 goals
Heart Of Midlothian33%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 48% · edge +0.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 85%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede goals recently, with Trabzonspor’s matches consistently exceeding 2.5 goals and Heart Of Midlothian maintaining a 100% BTTS rate. This suggests an open game with goals at both ends, supporting the over 3.5 goals outlook.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Trabzonspor to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
The 48.5% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+0.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Trabzonspor and 33% for Heart Of Midlothian, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Trabzonspor

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Oct 2026A KuPS4-2

Heart Of Midlothian

DDD
Last 50W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 0L
15 Oct 2026H FC Nordsjaelland1-1
26 Aug 2026A Rapid Vienna1-1
20 Aug 2026H Rapid Vienna2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +14.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Trabzonspor to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBet365 guide price · model 13%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Trabzonspor’s recent matches have all featured over 2.5 goals, highlighting their offensive potency and defensive openness. Heart Of Midlothian’s form shows fewer goals but a consistent pattern of both teams scoring, indicating potential for multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
33%Heart Of Midlothian Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Trabzonspor has consistently produced games with more than 2.5 goals, indicating a fast tempo and attacking style. The lack of head-to-head history means current form and attacking tendencies are the best indicators for goal trends in this fixture.

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