Football Stats Hub

Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 20:00

Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 14:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Beşiktaş hosts Crystal Palace in a high-stakes UEFA Europa League clash in Istanbul, where the Turkish side boasts an impressive European home record with four consecutive wins and seven goals scored in their opening two group matches. Crystal Palace arrives under pressure after defensive struggles in the Premier League, conceding 17 goals in seven matches and suffering a heavy 5-0 defeat to Brighton. Despite this, Palace has shown attacking promise in Europe with six goals in two fixtures. The tactical battle will hinge on Besiktas' attacking variety against Palace's vulnerable defense and transition control, setting the stage for an open, competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Beşiktaş to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Besiktas have won their last four European home games, scoring seven goals in two matches.
  • Crystal Palace conceded 17 goals in seven Premier League games, the worst defensive record in the division.
  • Both teams have scored consistently in recent European fixtures, supporting a BTTS outcome.
  • Besiktas' home attacking momentum contrasts with Palace's defensive frailties, suggesting a high-scoring match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Besiktas to win with both teams scoring due to Besiktas' strong European home form, including four straight wins and seven goals in two matches, combined with Crystal Palace's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 17 league goals and multiple away goals in recent games. The of 44.5% exceeds the implied chance of 28.6%, indicating positive value. This pick reflects the tactical scenario where Besiktas' attacking strength meets Palace's defensive weaknesses, making a competitive, goal-filled match likely.

Besiktas European Home Form4 consecutive wins, 7 goals scored
Strong positive
Crystal Palace Defensive Record17 goals conceded in 7 league matches
Strong positive
Both Teams Scoring RateBesiktas 40%, Palace 50% BTTS rate recently
Positive
Price vs Model Chance13.9% model chance vs 5.9% implied (+8 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Besiktas' commanding European home performances and attacking depth provide a solid foundation for victory, while Crystal Palace's defensive struggles and ability to score in Europe suggest both teams will find the net. This combination makes Besiktas to win and both teams to score a tactically and statistically sound selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and scoring potential

“Besiktas' recent European control at home, paired with Crystal Palace's leaky defense but capable attack, sets up a fixture ripe for goals at both ends and a narrow home win.”

Key Data Signals

Beşiktaş to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Besiktas have won their last four European home games, scoring seven goals in two matches.

Crystal Palace conceded 17 goals in seven Premier League games, the worst defensive record in the division.

Both teams have scored consistently in recent European fixtures, supporting a BTTS outcome.

Besiktas' home attacking momentum contrasts with Palace's defensive frailties, suggesting a high-scoring match.

What To Watch In The Data

Beşiktaş to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have frequently participated in high-scoring games, with Besiktas having a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and Palace a full 100%.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play style, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals and supporting the expectation of an entertaining, goal-rich fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Beşiktaş2.2
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace3
Beşiktaş0.8
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace1.5
Beşiktaş40%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace50%
Beşiktaş60%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +10.8 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have demonstrated attacking potency in European competition, with Besiktas scoring seven goals in two matches and Palace netting six in their two fixtures. Defensive weaknesses on both sides, especially Palace's poor away record conceding multiple goals frequently, support a scenario where both teams are likely to score, aligning with the combined bet.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBeşiktaş Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +3.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Beşiktaş to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 13.9% for Beşiktaş to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 5.9% implied by the current price (+8 pts). Beşiktaş need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Beşiktaş on 12 and Crystal Palace on 3. Besiktas and Crystal Palace both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Europa League analysisfull betting preview for Beşiktaş v Crystal Palacecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Beşiktaş

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 1L
15 Oct 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim3-2
17 Sep 2026H Marseille4-1
27 Aug 2026A Kauno Žalgiris0-1
20 Aug 2026H Kauno Žalgiris3-0
13 Aug 2026H Hradec Králové1-0

Crystal Palace

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
15 Oct 2026A Lyon2-3
17 Sep 2026H Lech Poznan4-0
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.1 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Beşiktaş to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Besiktas have accumulated 12 points recently with a strong attacking output of 2.2 goals per game and a solid defensive record conceding 0.8 goals. Crystal Palace's recent form is weaker, with only 3 points and conceding 1.5 goals per game, though they maintain a high scoring rate of 3 goals per game. This contrast supports Besiktas' winning chances while acknowledging Palace's scoring ability.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Beşiktaş Over 2.5
100%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have frequently participated in high-scoring games, with Besiktas having a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and Palace a full 100%. This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play style, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals and supporting the expectation of an entertaining, goal-rich fixture.

Loading deeper match data…