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Celtic crestCeltic
v
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 20:00

Celtic v Celta Vigo Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 12:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic face Celta Vigo in UEFA Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 20:00. Seven goals conceded: Celtic have shipped seven goals across their opening two Europa League fixtures. Celta Vigo's recent attacking form and defensive solidity suggest they will find the net despite Celtic's home advantage.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Both teams scoring is likely due to Celtic's defensive weaknesses in Europe and their strong home attack led by Camilo Duran.
  • Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Celtic average 1 goals scored and Celta Vigo average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both teams scoring is likely due to Celtic's defensive weaknesses in Europe and their strong home attack led by Camilo Duran.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Strong positive
Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show.Visible data support
Positive
Celtic average 1 goals scored and Celta Vigo average 0.5.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams scoring is likely due to Celtic's defensive.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both teams scoring is likely due to Celtic's defensive weaknesses in Europe and their strong home attack led by Camilo Duran. Celtic show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Celta Vigo show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Celtic's home advantage and attacking momentum make them dangerous, but Celta's greater recent defensive stability could be decisive in a closely contested encounter.

Main risk

Celtic's home advantage and attacking momentum make them dangerous, but Celta's greater recent defensive stability could be decisive in a closely contested encounter.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Both teams scoring is likely due to Celtic's defensive weaknesses in Europe and their strong home attack led.

Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Celtic average 1 goals scored and Celta Vigo average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celtic1
Avg goals scored
Celta Vigo0.5
Celtic3.5
Avg goals conceded
Celta Vigo1.5
Celtic100%
BTTS rate
Celta Vigo50%
Celtic100%
Over 2.5 goals
Celta Vigo50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Celta Vigo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Celta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Celtic to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubfull betting preview for Celtic v Celta Vigocorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celtic

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
15 Oct 2026A Benfica1-4
17 Sep 2026H Ferencvarosi TC1-3

Celta Vigo

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
15 Oct 2026H Juventus1-2
16 Sep 2026A Omonia Nicosia0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 69% · edge -3.8 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Celta Vigo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Celta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Celtic to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Celtic Over 2.5
50%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Celtic sit at 100% and Celta Vigo sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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