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Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. Gilloise
v
Hapoel Beer Sheva crestHapoel Beer Sheva

UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 17:45

Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Sheva Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 14:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gilloise host Hapoel Beer Sheva in a UEFA Europa League group stage clash where both sides seek to improve their standings after mixed starts. Gilloise have shown attacking intent with a balanced goal return and solid defensive resilience, while Hapoel Beer Sheva have struggled for goals but remain competitive. The tactical setup suggests an open game with opportunities for both teams to find the net, reflecting their recent form and the importance of securing points in this early phase of the competition.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate in recent matches, indicating balanced attacking and defensive performances.
  • Gilloise average 19 shots and 9 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva, despite fewer shots, maintain a 50% BTTS rate and have conceded an average of 1 goal per game.
  • No previous head-to-head meetings add unpredictability, supporting an open contest with goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick aligns closely with the model's 58.3% chance and the market's implied probability of 57.9%, indicating a well-supported selection. Both sides have demonstrated the ability to score and concede goals in recent fixtures, with Union St. Gilloise's high shot volume and Hapoel Beer Sheva's moderate defensive record underpinning the likelihood of goals at both ends. The balanced BTTS rates and attacking tendencies suggest this market is a solid choice without significant price sensitivity or data limitations.

Model Chance58.3% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+2.7 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance58.3% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+2.7 pts)
Strong positive
Union St. Gilloise AttackHigh shot volume (19 avg) and shots on target (9 avg)
Strong positive
Hapoel Beer Sheva DefenseConcedes 1 goal per game on average
Positive
BTTS RatesBoth teams at 50% BTTS in recent matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Both Teams to Score selection is well-founded given Union St. Gilloise's attacking pressure and Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive vulnerabilities. The data shows both teams have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, making this a tactically plausible and statistically supported pick for this Europa League fixture.

Main risk

However, the decision to stage the match behind closed doors at a neutral venue removes the traditional home advantage and could influence proceedings.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two sides with balanced attacking and defensive profiles, making Both Teams to Score a logical outcome. Gilloise's high shot volume combined with Hapoel Beer Sheva's goal concessions creates a fertile ground for goals from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate in recent matches, indicating balanced attacking and defensive performances.

Gilloise average 19 shots and 9 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.

Hapoel Beer Sheva, despite fewer shots, maintain a 50% BTTS rate and have conceded an average of 1 goal per game.

No previous head-to-head meetings add unpredictability, supporting an open contest with goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals games, indicating a moderate tendency for matches with multiple goals.
  • This trend supports an open tempo and attacking intent, increasing the probability of both teams scoring and contributing to a lively Europa League encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Union St. Gilloise2
Avg goals scored
Hapoel Beer Sheva0.5
Union St. Gilloise0.5
Avg goals conceded
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Union St. Gilloise50%
BTTS rate
Hapoel Beer Sheva50%
Union St. Gilloise50%
Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Beer Sheva50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate recently, reflecting balanced offensive and defensive performances. Gilloise's strong shot metrics and Hapoel Beer Sheva's tendency to concede suggest goals at both ends are likely, fitting the BTTS Yes profile rather than a low-scoring or clean-sheet scenario.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Europa League analysisfull betting preview for Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Beer Shevafootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Union St. Gilloise Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
The 58.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+2.7 pts). Gilloise show a 50% BTTS rate and Hapoel Beer Sheva show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Defensive absences and a neutral venue reduce home advantage, making a Both Teams to Score selection plausible as visitors look to exploit openings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Union St. Gilloise

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
15 Oct 2026H Real Sociedad1-1
17 Sep 2026A Plzen3-0

Hapoel Beer Sheva

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
15 Oct 2026A AZ Alkmaar1-2
16 Sep 2026H Dinamo Zagreb0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +14.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 85%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Union St. Gilloise Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Recent form data shows Union St. Gilloise with 4 points and 2 goals scored, conceding 0.5 per game, indicating a balanced but effective approach. Hapoel Beer Sheva have 1 point with a lower goal output and higher concession rate, suggesting defensive frailties. Both teams' 50% BTTS rates in recent matches reinforce the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Union St. Gilloise Over 2.5
50%Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals games, indicating a moderate tendency for matches with multiple goals. This trend supports an open tempo and attacking intent, increasing the probability of both teams scoring and contributing to a lively Europa League encounter.

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