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Levante crestLevante
v
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

La Liga | Wed 16 Sep, 20:30

Levante v Athletic Club Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levante host Athletic Club in a La Liga clash where both sides have shown a tendency for active wing play and set-piece involvement. Levante, positioned 13th, and Athletic Club, 9th, have similar attacking outputs but differ in defensive solidity, suggesting open phases that could lead to multiple corner opportunities. Recent matches highlight Levante's aggressive pressing and Athletic's wide attacking threats, setting the stage for a contest with frequent territorial shifts and set-piece battles under midweek lights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Levante average 3.4 corners per game, Athletic Club 6.4, combining for 9.8 per match.
  • Both teams have attacking styles that generate wide play and crosses, increasing corner chances.
  • Recent form shows Levante and Athletic Club matches often exceed 9.5 corners.
  • Athletic Club’s higher fouling rate and Levante’s pressing suggest frequent stoppages and set-piece opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 9.5 Corners at a 65.8% chance, above the implied 57.8% from current , indicating positive value. Levante and Athletic Club’s combined corner averages near 10 per game support this, with Athletic’s 6.4 corners per match particularly influential. The teams’ attacking patterns, including Athletic’s wide play and Levante’s pressing, create frequent corner scenarios. is strong at 75%, and no data limitations reduce reliability. This pick is a solid value play given the corner volume and tactical styles.

Model Chance65.8%
Strong positive
Implied Chance57.8%
Strong positive
Combined Corner Average~9.8 per game
Strong positive
Confidence Level75%
Strong positive
Data QualityGood, no limitations
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent wing play and set-piece battles as Levante and Athletic Club both push for attacking opportunities. The corner count should be high given Athletic’s strong wide presence and Levante’s pressing style, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling choice supported by solid corner averages and match tempo.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture’s tactical setup and recent corner trends strongly suggest a high number of corners, with Athletic Club’s wide attacks and Levante’s pressing creating multiple set-piece chances.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Levante average 3.4 corners per game, Athletic Club 6.4, combining for 9.8 per match.

Both teams have attacking styles that generate wide play and crosses, increasing corner chances.

Recent form shows Levante and Athletic Club matches often exceed 9.5 corners.

Athletic Club’s higher fouling rate and Levante’s pressing suggest frequent stoppages and set-piece opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten meetings, average goals stand at 2.7, indicating moderately open games.
  • While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals, the tempo and attacking intent reflected in these matches suggest sustained wing play and transitions, which often correlate with higher corner counts, reinforcing the corner market rationale.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Levante1.4
Avg goals scored
Athletic Club1.4
Levante1.8
Avg goals conceded
Athletic Club1.2
Levante40%
BTTS rate
Athletic Club40%
Levante60%
Over 2.5 goals
Athletic Club40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
Both teams average 1.4 goals per game, with Levante’s matches hitting over 2.5 goals 60% of the time and Athletic Club’s at 40%. Both teams to score rates are moderate at 40%, indicating balanced attacking and defensive play. This suggests open play that can generate attacking pressure and corners, though goal volume is not exceptionally high.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Levante

LDWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
13 Sep 2026H Barcelona2-4
06 Sep 2026A Malaga0-0
29 Aug 2026H Real Betis5-2
24 Aug 2026A Osasuna0-0
16 Aug 2026A Espanyol0-3

Athletic Club

DWWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Elche1-1
05 Sep 2026H Atletico Madrid3-0
30 Aug 2026A Celta Vigo2-0
27 Aug 2026A Barcelona0-2
22 Aug 2026H Sevilla1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 77% · edge +2 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Levante to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Levante and Athletic Club have recent matches with high corner counts, reflecting their attacking styles and tactical setups. Levante’s 3.4 and Athletic’s 6.4 corners per game align with the Over 9.5 Corners pick, supported by their recent form data showing sustained pressure and wing play that generate corners consistently.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Athletic Club752121
14Levante55122-2
Levante’s 13th and Athletic Club’s 9th place standings reflect mid-table stability, with neither side under extreme pressure to alter tactics drastically. This suggests both teams will maintain their usual attacking and pressing styles, sustaining corner volume rather than adopting overly defensive approaches that could reduce set pieces.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Levante to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
The Over 9.5 Corners market offers positive value as the model’s 65.8% probability exceeds the implied 57.8% chance from current . Athletic Club’s high corner rate (6.4 per game) combined with Levante’s 3.4 creates a strong statistical base. The price is attractive with no warnings, making this a good standard stake opportunity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Levante-
Avg corners for
Athletic Club6.67
Levante-
Avg total corners
Athletic Club11.67
Levante-
Avg yellow cards
Athletic Club1.67
Levante-
Avg shots
Athletic Club15.33
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Athletic Club’s higher average corners (6.4) and fouling rate (2 yellows per game) indicate aggressive wide play and defensive pressure, leading to frequent set pieces. Levante’s 3.4 corners and 1 yellow card per game complement this, with both teams generating solid shot volumes (Levante 11.6, Athletic 14) that reflect attacking intent and sustained pressure conducive to corners.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Levante wins
0Draws
0Athletic Club wins
Best odds for this sectionAthletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 48% · edge +4.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Levante to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, indicating open contests. While goal data is moderate, the matches have featured active wing play and transitions, which typically generate corners. The H2H supports the likelihood of a dynamic game with multiple set-piece opportunities, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners pick.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Levante Over 2.5
40%Athletic Club Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, average goals stand at 2.7, indicating moderately open games. While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals, the tempo and attacking intent reflected in these matches suggest sustained wing play and transitions, which often correlate with higher corner counts, reinforcing the corner market rationale.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.