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Levante crestLevante
v
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

La Liga | Wed 21 Oct, 19:00

Levante v Athletic Club Stats

Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 02:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levante face Athletic Club in La Liga on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00. Levante come in with 3 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Athletic Club have 9 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Athletic Club to Win

  • At 2.1, Athletic Club to Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Levante.
  • Athletic Club have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Athletic Club to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Levante sit 17 in the table, while Athletic Club sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Athletic Club to Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Levante.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Athletic Club have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Athletic Club Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Levante. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Athletic Club to Win evidence

Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Levante.

Athletic Club have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Athletic Club Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Levante sit 17 in the table, while Athletic Club sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Athletic Club to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Levante1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Athletic Club1.2
    Levante2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Athletic Club0.2
    Levante80%
    BTTS rate
    Athletic Club20%
    Levante60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Athletic Club20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +6.1 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Levante and 20% for Athletic Club, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    La Liga fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAthletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Athletic Club to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Levante

    DDLLD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 3L
    16 Oct 2026A Deportivo La Coruna1-1
    12 Oct 2026H Sevilla3-3
    20 Sep 2026A Villarreal1-3
    13 Sep 2026H Barcelona2-4
    06 Sep 2026A Malaga0-0

    Athletic Club

    DDDWW
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 2L
    17 Oct 2026A Valencia0-0
    19 Sep 2026H Alaves0-0
    12 Sep 2026H Elche1-1
    05 Sep 2026H Atletico Madrid3-0
    30 Aug 2026A Celta Vigo2-0
    Market aligned with main pickAthletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Levante Over 2.5
    20%Athletic Club Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Levante sit at 60% and Athletic Club sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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