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Lillestrom crestLillestrom
v
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 20:00

Lillestrom v Real Sociedad Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 14:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lillestrom face Real Sociedad in a UEFA Europa League group stage clash where both teams have struggled to find consistent form, each sitting near the bottom of their group with just one point. Lillestrom have shown resilience at home, while Real Sociedad bring a more experienced squad with attacking threats capable of breaking down defenses. This fixture promises an open contest as both sides seek their first win, with tactical approaches likely to encourage offensive play and goal-scoring opportunities on both ends.

BT4Y match pick

Real Sociedad Asian Handicap -1

  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Lillestrom at 75%, Real Sociedad at 100%.
  • Recent matches show both teams scoring, with Lillestrom conceding only 1 goal in last matches.
  • Real Sociedad averages 11 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
  • Lehne Olsen is a key goal threat with 3.27 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 76% chance, reflecting strong attacking profiles and recent scoring trends for both sides. Lillestrom's high BTTS rate and Real Sociedad's consistent offensive output, including an average of 11 shots per game, underpin this prediction. The price offers positive value with an 18.9% edge, supported by the attacking roles of key players like T. Lehne Olsen and Beñat Turrientes. No data limitations affect , making this a solid football-driven selection.

Model Chance52.9% model chance vs 54.1% implied (-1.2 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS RatesLillestrom 75%, Real Sociedad 100%
Strong positive
Shots per GameLillestrom 7.75, Real Sociedad 11
Positive
Key Player ThreatsT. Lehne Olsen 3.27 SOT/90, Beñat Turrientes 1.75 SOT/90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess capable attacking players and have shown a tendency to concede goals recently, suggesting a lively game with goals at both ends. The combination of Lillestrom's home resilience and Real Sociedad's offensive firepower supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this Europa League encounter.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with clear attacking intent and some defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a logical and football-sensible pick given the players involved and recent scoring patterns.”

Key Data Signals

Real Sociedad Asian Handicap -1 evidence

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Lillestrom at 75%, Real Sociedad at 100%.

Recent matches show both teams scoring, with Lillestrom conceding only 1 goal in last matches.

Real Sociedad averages 11 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

Lehne Olsen is a key goal threat with 3.27 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Real Sociedad Asian Handicap -1 notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have hit the Over 2.5 Goals mark 50% of the time, indicating a moderate tempo with goal-scoring opportunities.
  • The combination of attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities suggests a reasonable chance of a high-scoring game in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lillestrom1
Avg goals scored
Real Sociedad1
Lillestrom1
Avg goals conceded
Real Sociedad1.5
Lillestrom75%
BTTS rate
Real Sociedad100%
Lillestrom50%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have demonstrated strong scoring and conceding trends, with Lillestrom scoring and conceding in most recent matches and Real Sociedad maintaining a 100% BTTS rate. This fixture is likely to see goals from both sides given their attacking tendencies and defensive openness.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lillestrom

DLWD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
15 Oct 2026A Sparta Praha1-1
17 Sep 2026H Torreense1-2
27 Aug 2026H Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-1
20 Aug 2026A Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-0

Real Sociedad

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
15 Oct 2026A Union St. Gilloise1-1
17 Sep 2026H Bournemouth1-2
Best odds for this sectionLillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Lillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
6
Check odds @ 6
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Real Sociedad to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Recent form shows Lillestrom with 5 points and a 75% BTTS rate, while Real Sociedad has 1 point but a perfect 100% BTTS rate in their last matches. Both sides have scored and conceded recently, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Lillestrom Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Lillestrom to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The 52.9% for Real Sociedad Asian Handicap -1 sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (-1.2 pts). Lillestrom's European campaign has started disappointingly, with a 2-1 home defeat against Torreense followed by a 1-1 draw away to Sparta Prague.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Lillestrom Over 2.5
50%Real Sociedad Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have hit the Over 2.5 Goals mark 50% of the time, indicating a moderate tempo with goal-scoring opportunities. The combination of attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities suggests a reasonable chance of a high-scoring game in this fixture.

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