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Ferencvarosi TC crestFerencvarosi TC
v
Torreense crestTorreense

UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 17:45

Ferencvarosi TC v Torreense Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 14:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ferencvarosi TC hosts Torreense in this UEFA Europa League clash, with Ferencvarosi showing strong offensive form, averaging 2.2 goals per game and a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals. Torreense, despite their lower league standing, have an aggressive attacking style evidenced by a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and 1.5 goals scored per game. Both teams' recent scoring patterns suggest an open game with multiple goal opportunities, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter where defensive vulnerabilities may be exposed.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Ferencvarosi TC averages 2.2 goals per game with 60% over 2.5 goals matches.
  • Torreense scores 1.5 goals per game and has a 100% over 2.5 goals match rate.
  • Ferencvarosi TC averages 9.4 shots and 6 corners per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Torreense's defensive record concedes 1.5 goals per game, suggesting susceptibility at the back.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against a 40% implied market chance, reflecting an 18% . Ferencvarosi TC's potent attack combined with Torreense's tendency for high-scoring matches supports the likelihood of a goal-rich game. Both teams' offensive metrics, including shots on target and goal averages, underpin this expectation. The absence of data limitations adds to this projection, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection at current .

Model Chance55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Ferencvarosi TC Attack2.2 goals/game, 9.4 shots/game
Strong positive
Torreense Scoring Rate1.5 goals/game, 100% over 2.5 matches
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with Ferencvarosi TC's attacking prowess and Torreense's high-scoring tendencies driving the game. Ferencvarosi's ability to create numerous chances and Torreense's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match likely to exceed 3.5 goals, supported by strong recent scoring data from both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Ferencvarosi TC's dynamic offense combined with Torreense's open defensive style creates a fertile environment for multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical expectation in this Europa League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Ferencvarosi TC averages 2.2 goals per game with 60% over 2.5 goals matches.

Torreense scores 1.5 goals per game and has a 100% over 2.5 goals match rate.

Ferencvarosi TC averages 9.4 shots and 6 corners per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Torreense's defensive record concedes 1.5 goals per game, suggesting susceptibility at the back.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have consistently featured games with more than 2.5 goals, with Torreense at a perfect 100% rate.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and open defensive lines, increasing the probability of a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ferencvarosi TC2.2
Avg goals scored
Torreense1.5
Ferencvarosi TC0.6
Avg goals conceded
Torreense1.5
Ferencvarosi TC60%
BTTS rate
Torreense100%
Ferencvarosi TC60%
Over 2.5 goals
Torreense100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams exhibit strong scoring form, with Ferencvarosi TC averaging 2.2 goals and Torreense 1.5 goals per game. Torreense's 100% over 2.5 goals match rate highlights their involvement in high-scoring games, while Ferencvarosi's 60% BTTS rate suggests both sides are likely to find the net, supporting a goal-heavy encounter.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Europa League analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Torreense Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 36%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Ferencvarosi TC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
The 55% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Ferencvarosi TC and 100% for Torreense, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ferencvarosi TC

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 2D 0L
15 Oct 2026H Plzen2-1
17 Sep 2026A Celtic3-1
27 Aug 2026H Trabzonspor4-0
20 Aug 2026A Trabzonspor1-0
13 Aug 2026A Gornik Zabrze1-1

Torreense

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
15 Oct 2026H Sunderland1-2
17 Sep 2026A Lillestrom2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +14.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Torreense Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 36%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Ferencvarosi TC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Torreense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 14%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5
Check odds @ 5
Recent form data shows Ferencvarosi TC accumulating 13 points with a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, while Torreense has 3 points but maintains a 100% over 2.5 goals rate. This contrast highlights Ferencvarosi's consistent scoring and Torreense's involvement in high-scoring matches, reinforcing expectations for a goal-laden fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Ferencvarosi TC Over 2.5
100%Torreense Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have consistently featured games with more than 2.5 goals, with Torreense at a perfect 100% rate. This trend suggests a fast tempo and open defensive lines, increasing the probability of a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.

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