Football Stats Hub

FK Crvena Zvezda crestFK Crvena Zvezda
v
FC Copenhagen crestFC Copenhagen

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 22 Oct, 17:45

FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 13:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League clash features FK Crvena Zvezda and FC Copenhagen, two teams with contrasting recent form and attacking profiles. FK Crvena Zvezda has struggled for points but consistently participates in high-scoring matches, while FC Copenhagen arrives in strong form, conceding very few goals and boasting a potent attack. Both sides have shown a tendency for open, attacking play in European competition, setting the stage for a dynamic encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • FK Crvena Zvezda has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • FC Copenhagen maintains an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing consistent attacking threat.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda averages 20 shots per game, reflecting offensive intent.
  • FC Copenhagen's A. Cornelius leads with 5 goals and 2.48 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 78% chance, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 59.9%, indicating strong value. FK Crvena Zvezda's matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals recently, and FC Copenhagen's attacking efficiency, led by prolific striker A. Cornelius, supports expectations of multiple goals. Both teams' offensive tendencies and the historical average of 3 goals per game in their meetings reinforce the likelihood of a high-scoring match. No data limitations affect in this selection.

FK Crvena Zvezda Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
FC Copenhagen Over 2.5 Rate80% recent matches
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3 goals per game
Positive
A. Cornelius Goal Threat5 goals, 2.48 SOT/90
Strong positive
Market Value Edge74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as FK Crvena Zvezda seeks to overturn their poor form and FC Copenhagen aims to maintain momentum. The attacking prowess of both sides, especially Copenhagen's A. Cornelius, combined with their recent goal-scoring patterns, makes Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture promises an engaging contest with both teams demonstrating strong offensive capabilities and a history of high-scoring games, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical and attractive market to consider.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

FK Crvena Zvezda has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

FC Copenhagen maintains an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, showing consistent attacking threat.

Head-to-head meetings average 3 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests.

FK Crvena Zvezda averages 20 shots per game, reflecting offensive intent.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored reached 3 per game, indicating a trend toward open, attacking matches between these sides.
  • This recent history, combined with both teams' recent Over 2.5 rates, suggests a continuation of high-tempo, goal-laden encounters in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FK Crvena Zvezda2
Avg goals scored
FC Copenhagen3
FK Crvena Zvezda3
Avg goals conceded
FC Copenhagen0.4
FK Crvena Zvezda100%
BTTS rate
FC Copenhagen40%
FK Crvena Zvezda100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Copenhagen80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Both teams have shown contrasting BTTS rates, with FK Crvena Zvezda scoring and conceding regularly, while FC Copenhagen has a lower BTTS rate but strong goal-scoring output. The combination of FK Crvena Zvezda's openness and Copenhagen's attacking efficiency suggests multiple goals are likely, supporting Over 2.5 Goals.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
FC Copenhagen to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3
Check odds @ 3
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 74.9% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for FK Crvena Zvezda and 80% for FC Copenhagen, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FK Crvena Zvezda

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
15 Oct 2026A FC Lugano2-3

FC Copenhagen

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 0L
15 Oct 2026H SC Braga3-0
27 Aug 2026H Inter Turku4-1
20 Aug 2026A Inter Turku0-0
12 Aug 2026H Debreceni VSC5-1
06 Aug 2026A Debreceni VSC3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 60% · edge +1.2 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
FC Copenhagen to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3
Check odds @ 3
FC Copenhagen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form data shows FK Crvena Zvezda has participated in 100% Over 2.5 Goals matches despite earning no points, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent. FC Copenhagen's 80% Over 2.5 rate and strong defensive record highlight their ability to score while maintaining solidity, suggesting a match with multiple goals but also tactical balance.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FK Crvena Zvezda Over 2.5
80%FC Copenhagen Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored reached 3 per game, indicating a trend toward open, attacking matches between these sides. This recent history, combined with both teams' recent Over 2.5 rates, suggests a continuation of high-tempo, goal-laden encounters in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…