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Kairat Almaty crestKairat Almaty
v
Panathinaikos crestPanathinaikos

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 22 Oct, 15:30

Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 14:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Panathinaikos travel to face Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa Conference League with a strong recent run, having collected 11 points compared to Kairat's solitary point. Panathinaikos display a more potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game and showing an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating an aggressive offensive approach. Kairat, meanwhile, have struggled to score and have yet to see a game with over 2.5 goals. This clash pits Panathinaikos' attacking against Kairat's defensive resilience, with Panathinaikos favored to capitalize on their superior form and goal threat.

BT4Y match pick

Panathinaikos to Win

  • Panathinaikos have won 11 points recently versus Kairat's 1 point.
  • Panathinaikos average 1.8 goals per game, Kairat only 1.
  • Panathinaikos have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate; Kairat have 0%.
  • Both teams have 100% BTTS rate, suggesting open games.
  • Panathinaikos average 7.8 corners per game, indicating sustained pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Panathinaikos with a 70% chance to win, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking metrics. Their high shot volume and goal threat, led by key attackers like Cyriel Dessers, supports this . The at 1.62 offer positive value given the implied chance of 61.7%. The balanced defensive record and ability to create chances consistently underpin the model's preference for Panathinaikos to secure victory in this fixture.

Recent formPanathinaikos 11 points vs Kairat 1
Strong positive
Goal scoringPanathinaikos 1.8 goals/game
Strong positive
Shots on targetPanathinaikos 7.8 avg corners
Positive
Value edge58.5% model chance vs 61.7% implied (-3.2 pts)
Strong positive
Data qualityFull data for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Panathinaikos' recent attacking form and superior points tally make them the clear choice to win this match. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain pressure through corners complements their goal-scoring threat, while Kairat's struggles to score and accumulate points suggest Panathinaikos will control the game and secure victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking superiority and player roles

“Panathinaikos' offensive dynamism, spearheaded by Dessers and supported by creative midfielders like Ounahi, gives them a decisive edge over Kairat, who have yet to find consistent scoring form this season.”

Key Data Signals

Panathinaikos to Win evidence

Panathinaikos have won 11 points recently versus Kairat's 1 point.

Panathinaikos average 1.8 goals per game, Kairat only 1.

Panathinaikos have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate; Kairat have 0%.

Both teams have 100% BTTS rate, suggesting open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Panathinaikos to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Panathinaikos have featured in 80% Over 2.5 Goals games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs.
  • This suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that could shape this fixture's goal-scoring potential, contrasting with Kairat's more defensive recent matches.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kairat Almaty1
Avg goals scored
Panathinaikos1.8
Kairat Almaty1
Avg goals conceded
Panathinaikos1.2
Kairat Almaty100%
BTTS rate
Panathinaikos100%
Kairat Almaty0%
Over 2.5 goals
Panathinaikos80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate recently, indicating both sides tend to concede and score. Panathinaikos' high Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) contrasts with Kairat's 0%, suggesting Panathinaikos' matches are more open and goal-rich, which could influence this fixture's goal dynamics.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPanathinaikos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 62% · edge -3.2 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Panathinaikos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 58.5% for Panathinaikos to Win sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (-3.2 pts). Panathinaikos have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kairat Almaty.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kairat Almaty

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
15 Oct 2026A Riga1-1

Panathinaikos

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 0L
15 Oct 2026H Borac Banja Luka2-1
27 Aug 2026A Hradec Králové2-1
20 Aug 2026H Hradec Králové2-2
11 Aug 2026A CSKA 19482-1
05 Aug 2026H CSKA 19481-1
Market aligned with main pickPanathinaikos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 62% · edge -3.2 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Panathinaikos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Panathinaikos have accumulated 11 points recently, showcasing consistent winning form and offensive productivity. Kairat's single point highlights their struggles to convert chances and secure results, reinforcing Panathinaikos' momentum advantage heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Kairat Almaty Over 2.5
80%Panathinaikos Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Panathinaikos have featured in 80% Over 2.5 Goals games, indicating a trend towards high-scoring affairs. This suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that could shape this fixture's goal-scoring potential, contrasting with Kairat's more defensive recent matches.

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