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Plzen crestPlzen
v
Levski Sofia crestLevski Sofia

UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 20:00

Plzen v Levski Sofia Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 13:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Plzen hosts Levski Sofia in a UEFA Europa League clash where both teams seek to improve their group stage standing. Plzen's recent matches show a high-scoring pattern, while Levski Sofia has struggled offensively but remains competitive. The tactical setup suggests open play with Plzen pushing forward aggressively and Levski Sofia relying on counter-attacks. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides increase the likelihood of goals at each end, setting the stage for a contest where both teams are expected to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Plzen averages 1.5 goals per game but concedes 2.25, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Levski Sofia scores less frequently but concedes only 1 goal per match on average.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate of scoring and conceding in recent fixtures, supporting BTTS.
  • Plzen’s high shot volume (18.25 per game) contrasts with Levski Sofia’s lower output, but both create chances.
  • Levski Sofia’s discipline is tight with fewer cards, suggesting fewer disruptions to attacking flow.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, supported by Plzen’s offensive firepower and defensive lapses combined with Levski Sofia’s ability to capitalize on chances despite fewer shots. The 6.8% positive at 1.67 confirms this as a solid pick. Both sides’ recent form and shot statistics indicate an open game with goals at both ends, making BTTS a logical choice. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Plzen’s attack and defense balanceHigh goals scored and conceded
Strong positive
Levski Sofia’s goal-scoring potentialModerate but consistent chance creation
Positive
Shot volume disparityPlzen high, Levski Sofia moderate
Neutral
Recent BTTS rate50% for both teams
Positive
Market price vs model chance66.7% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+6.8 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score in recent matches, with Plzen’s aggressive style inviting counter-attacks from Levski Sofia. The statistical balance of shots and goals supports a game where both sides find the net. This makes Both Teams to Score a tactically and statistically sound selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The interplay of Plzen’s attacking intent and Levski Sofia’s opportunistic counters creates a scenario ripe for goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Plzen averages 1.5 goals per game but concedes 2.25, indicating defensive frailty.

Levski Sofia scores less frequently but concedes only 1 goal per match on average.

Both teams have a 50% rate of scoring and conceding in recent fixtures, supporting BTTS.

Plzen’s high shot volume (18.25 per game) contrasts with Levski Sofia’s lower output, but both create chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends show Plzen’s matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, while Levski Sofia’s games have been lower scoring.
  • The combination suggests a match with fluctuating tempo and chances, where Over 2.5 goals is plausible but less certain than BTTS, highlighting an open game with scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Plzen1.5
Avg goals scored
Levski Sofia0.5
Plzen2.25
Avg goals conceded
Levski Sofia1
Plzen50%
BTTS rate
Levski Sofia50%
Plzen100%
Over 2.5 goals
Levski Sofia0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Plzen’s recent matches have seen consistent goal scoring and conceding, while Levski Sofia’s lower scoring rate is offset by their defensive resilience. Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate recently, suggesting a balanced likelihood of goals at both ends. The goal patterns point to an open game with scoring opportunities for each side.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Plzen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
2
Check odds @ 2
Plzen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Levski Sofia to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+6.8 pts). Plzen show a 50% BTTS rate and Levski Sofia show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Plzen

LLWL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
15 Oct 2026A Ferencvarosi TC1-2
17 Sep 2026H Union St. Gilloise0-3
27 Aug 2026H FK Crvena Zvezda5-1
20 Aug 2026A FK Crvena Zvezda0-3

Levski Sofia

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
15 Oct 2026A NEC Nijmegen1-1
17 Sep 2026H Red Bull Salzburg0-1
Best odds for this sectionPlzen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Plzen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Levski Sofia to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Levski Sofia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Plzen’s recent form shows a high goal concession rate despite scoring regularly, while Levski Sofia has struggled to score but maintains a solid defensive record. Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate in recent matches, indicating a balanced trend toward both scoring and conceding, reinforcing the BTTS pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Plzen Over 2.5
0%Levski Sofia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Plzen’s matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, while Levski Sofia’s games have been lower scoring. The combination suggests a match with fluctuating tempo and chances, where Over 2.5 goals is plausible but less certain than BTTS, highlighting an open game with scoring opportunities.

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