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OFI crestOFI
v
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 17:45

OFI v Bayer Leverkusen Stats

Data last updated: Thu 12 Nov 2026, 01:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

OFI face Bayer Leverkusen in UEFA Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 17:45. OFI come in with 9 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Bayer Leverkusen have 6 points and 3 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 3.4, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for OFI and 50% for Bayer Leverkusen, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Bayer Leverkusen are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with OFI at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 25% for OFI and 0% for Bayer Leverkusen show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for OFI and 50% for Bayer Leverkusen, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for OFI and 50%.Visible data support
Positive
Bayer Leverkusen are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Bayer Leverkusen are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with OFI at 2. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Bayer Leverkusen are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with OFI at 2.

BTTS rates of 25% for OFI and 0% for Bayer Leverkusen show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

OFI2
Avg goals scored
Bayer Leverkusen3
OFI0.5
Avg goals conceded
Bayer Leverkusen0
OFI25%
BTTS rate
Bayer Leverkusen0%
OFI50%
Over 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubfull betting preview for OFI v Bayer Leverkusencorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.1 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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OFI Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
OFI to WinBet365 guide price · model 20%
10
Check odds @ 10
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 17%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 8.5 Corners is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

OFI

LWWW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
15 Oct 2026A Rennes1-2
17 Sep 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim2-0
27 Aug 2026A CSKA Sofia2-0
20 Aug 2026H CSKA Sofia3-0

Bayer Leverkusen

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
15 Oct 2026A Lech Poznan4-0
16 Sep 2026H Celje2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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OFI Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
OFI to WinBet365 guide price · model 20%
10
Check odds @ 10
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 17%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%OFI Over 2.5
50%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: OFI sit at 50% and Bayer Leverkusen sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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