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UEFA Europa League | Thu 22 Oct, 17:45

Lech Poznan v Sunderland Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 12:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lech Poznan face Sunderland in UEFA Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 17:45. Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Preview: Black Cats Target Third Straight Europa League Victory. Sunderland's failure to keep clean sheets in 10 away matches and Lech's consistent home scoring support this combined market, despite Sunderland's poor domestic form and defensive absences.

BT4Y match pick

Sunderland to win and both teams to score

  • At 5/2, Sunderland to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Sunderland need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lech Poznan on 7 and Sunderland on 6.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 20% for Lech Poznan and 50% for Sunderland.
  • Sunderland to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.8 for Lech Poznan and 1.5 for Sunderland are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 28% for Sunderland to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Sunderland need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lech Poznan on 7 and Sunderland on 6. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price28% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Neutral
Sunderland need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sunderland Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Sunderland need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lech Poznan on 7 and Sunderland on 6. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Sunderland to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Sunderland need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lech Poznan on 7 and Sunderland on 6.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 20% for Lech Poznan and 50% for Sunderland.

Sunderland Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.8 for Lech Poznan and 1.5 for Sunderland are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sunderland to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lech Poznan2.8
Avg goals scored
Sunderland1.5
Lech Poznan2
Avg goals conceded
Sunderland0.5
Lech Poznan20%
BTTS rate
Sunderland50%
Lech Poznan100%
Over 2.5 goals
Sunderland50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 80% · edge +8 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
2
Check odds @ 2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubfull betting preview for Lech Poznan v Sunderlandcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSunderland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Sunderland to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Sunderland Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lech Poznan

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
15 Oct 2026H Bayer Leverkusen0-4
17 Sep 2026A Crystal Palace0-4
27 Aug 2026A FC Thun2-2
20 Aug 2026H FC Thun7-0
14 Aug 2026A KI Klaksvik5-0

Sunderland

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
15 Oct 2026A Torreense2-1
16 Sep 2026H AZ Alkmaar1-0
Market aligned with main pickSunderland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Sunderland to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Lech Poznan Over 2.5
50%Sunderland Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lech Poznan sit at 100% and Sunderland sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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