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CF Pachuca crestCF Pachuca
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Cruz Azul crestCruz Azul

Liga MX | Thu 22 Oct, 04:10

CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 10:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CF Pachuca and Cruz Azul meet in a Liga MX clash where both teams show attacking intent and a tendency to create set-piece opportunities. Pachuca, ranked 16th, have a high over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, while Cruz Azul, sitting 6th, share the same rate, indicating open games with frequent attacking phases. Both sides average a combined 11 corners per match, with Pachuca particularly strong in winning corners. This fixture promises a dynamic contest with territorial battles likely to generate numerous corner kicks, setting the stage for a corners market focus.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • CF Pachuca average 6.6 corners per game, Cruz Azul 4.4, totaling over 11 per match.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating attacking openness.
  • Recent form shows Pachuca and Cruz Azul create high shot volumes, supporting sustained pressure.
  • The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 14.4%.
  • Player data highlights attacking players who frequently generate shots and set-piece situations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability, reflecting the combined average of 11 corners per game between Pachuca and Cruz Azul. Both teams' attacking styles and high shot volumes translate into sustained pressure and frequent corner opportunities. The positive of 14.4% and solid of 85% underline this as a strong statistical angle. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on consistent corner generation patterns.

Combined Average Corners11.0 per match
Strong positive
Model Probability69% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge69% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Strong positive
Shot VolumeHigh average shots supporting pressure
Positive
Price Warning69% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with both CF Pachuca and Cruz Azul pushing forward, generating multiple attacking phases and set-piece chances. The strong corner averages and attacking intent from both teams make Over 9.5 Corners a sensible selection, supported by solid recent form and tactical openness on both sides.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count is a natural outcome of both teams' attacking styles and high shot volumes, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling market to watch in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

CF Pachuca average 6.6 corners per game, Cruz Azul 4.4, totaling over 11 per match.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating attacking openness.

Recent form shows Pachuca and Cruz Azul create high shot volumes, supporting sustained pressure.

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with a positive of 14.4%.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten encounters, the average goals per match stand at 2.3, indicating moderately open games.
  • Both teams' recent matches show an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting a tempo and attacking rhythm conducive to generating numerous corners through sustained offensive pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CF Pachuca1.8
Avg goals scored
Cruz Azul3
CF Pachuca1.6
Avg goals conceded
Cruz Azul2
CF Pachuca60%
BTTS rate
Cruz Azul60%
CF Pachuca80%
Over 2.5 goals
Cruz Azul80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.9 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a 60% BTTS rate, indicating open games with attacking intent. This attacking openness correlates with increased corner opportunities as defenses are stretched, supporting the likelihood of a high corner count in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionCruz Azul Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Cruz Azul to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
CF Pachuca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
CF Pachuca to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+14.4 pts). CF Pachuca lead the corner sample at 6.6 per match, with Cruz Azul lower at 4.4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CF Pachuca

LDLDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
19 Oct 2026A Monterrey1-2
12 Oct 2026H Necaxa3-3
27 Sep 2026A Santos Laguna0-1
21 Sep 2026H Club Tijuana2-2
12 Sep 2026A Atlante FC3-0

Cruz Azul

WDDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
18 Oct 2026H FC Juarez5-0
12 Oct 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3
26 Sep 2026H Toluca3-3
20 Sep 2026A Monterrey0-1
13 Sep 2026H Club America4-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Cruz Azul Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Cruz Azul to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
CF Pachuca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
CF Pachuca to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows both teams consistently generate high corner counts, with Pachuca and Cruz Azul maintaining strong attacking outputs and corner averages. This trend aligns with the model's in Over 9.5 Corners, reflecting ongoing tactical approaches that favor wide play and set-piece creation.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%CF Pachuca Over 2.5
80%Cruz Azul Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten encounters, the average goals per match stand at 2.3, indicating moderately open games. Both teams' recent matches show an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting a tempo and attacking rhythm conducive to generating numerous corners through sustained offensive pressure.

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