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Borac Banja Luka crestBorac Banja Luka
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KuPS crestKuPS

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 22 Oct, 20:00

Borac Banja Luka v KuPS Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 14:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borac Banja Luka hosts KuPS in a crucial UEFA Europa Conference League clash where both teams seek to advance from the group stage. Borac Banja Luka arrives with stronger recent form and a solid home presence, aiming to capitalize on their attacking efficiency and defensive resilience. KuPS, while competitive, has struggled defensively and faces an uphill battle away from home. Tactical discipline and exploiting key attacking players will be decisive in this tightly contested fixture under European night conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Borac Banja Luka to Win

  • Borac Banja Luka holds a 69.4% to win, showing strong value at 1.85 .
  • Borac averages 1.6 goals per game with a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.
  • KuPS concedes 1.67 goals per game and has a lower over 2.5 goals rate at 33%, suggesting defensive vulnerability.
  • Borac’s recent form yields 9 points versus KuPS’s 4, reflecting momentum advantage.
  • Player stats highlight Borac’s key midfielder M. Jojić’s goal threat and KuPS’s G. Engvall as a primary offensive outlet.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Borac Banja Luka to win based on their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and defensive solidity compared to KuPS. Borac’s home advantage and stronger attacking metrics, including a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, support a confident win prediction. KuPS’s defensive concessions and lower scoring output further tilt the balance. The reflect positive value with a 15.3% edge, making this a statistically supported selection. No data limitations or price warnings affect in this pick.

Model Win Probability69.4%
Strong positive
Value Edge vs Odds69.1% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsBorac 9 vs KuPS 4
Positive
Goals For per GameBorac 1.6, KuPS 1.33
Positive
Goals Against per GameBorac 1.0, KuPS 1.67
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Borac Banja Luka’s home form and attacking efficiency make them the tactical favorite to secure victory. Their recent momentum and defensive discipline contrast with KuPS’s struggles at the back, providing a strong statistical and strategic basis for backing Borac to win in this European group stage fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical advantage

“Borac Banja Luka’s balanced attack and solid defensive shape provide a clear edge over KuPS, who have shown vulnerabilities in conceding goals away from home. This match favors the home side’s tactical control and goal threat.”

Key Data Signals

Borac Banja Luka to Win evidence

Borac Banja Luka holds a 69.4% to win, showing strong value at 1.85 .

Borac averages 1.6 goals per game with a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.

KuPS concedes 1.67 goals per game and has a lower over 2.5 goals rate at 33%, suggesting defensive vulnerability.

Borac’s recent form yields 9 points versus KuPS’s 4, reflecting momentum advantage.

What To Watch In The Data

Borac Banja Luka to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Borac Banja Luka has a 60% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games.
  • KuPS’s lower rate suggests a more cautious approach, but the matchup could produce goals through Borac’s offensive pressure and KuPS’s defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Borac Banja Luka1.6
Avg goals scored
KuPS1.33
Borac Banja Luka1
Avg goals conceded
KuPS1.67
Borac Banja Luka60%
BTTS rate
KuPS67%
Borac Banja Luka60%
Over 2.5 goals
KuPS33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Borac Banja Luka’s matches see a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals and 60% BTTS, reflecting an open attacking style. KuPS’s lower over 2.5 rate at 33% and higher BTTS at 67% suggest they concede goals but also score, indicating potential for goals from both sides in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBorac Banja Luka to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Borac Banja Luka Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 69.1% for Borac Banja Luka to Win sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Borac Banja Luka have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for KuPS.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Borac Banja Luka

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 2L
15 Oct 2026A Panathinaikos1-2
27 Aug 2026H Vikingur Reykjavik3-1
20 Aug 2026A Vikingur Reykjavik3-1
13 Aug 2026A ML Vitebsk0-1
06 Aug 2026H ML Vitebsk1-0

KuPS

LWD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
15 Oct 2026H Trabzonspor2-4
27 Aug 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-0
20 Aug 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-1
Market aligned with main pickBorac Banja Luka to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Borac Banja Luka Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Borac Banja Luka’s recent form is stronger, accumulating 9 points compared to KuPS’s 4, reflecting better momentum and . Borac’s higher goal scoring and tighter defense in recent games underpin their favored status to win this encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Borac Banja Luka Over 2.5
33%KuPS Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Borac Banja Luka has a 60% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games. KuPS’s lower rate suggests a more cautious approach, but the matchup could produce goals through Borac’s offensive pressure and KuPS’s defensive lapses.

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