Football Stats Hub

Waterford crestWaterford
v
Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 12 Jun, 19:45

Waterford v Sligo Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Tue 07 Jul 2026, 20:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Waterford face Sligo Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 12 Jun, 19:45. Waterford carry an attacking threat through Amond and Lonergan but maintain the league's heaviest defensive vulnerability. Sligo's low-scoring away trend means they are unlikely to run away with the game, making a tight, competitive 1-1 stalemate the most plausible scoreline outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Waterford Win

  • At 6/1, Waterford Win implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • Waterford have drawn six of their nine home fixtures at the Regional Sports Centre, proving tough to beat despite sitting bottom.
  • Sligo Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Waterford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Waterford sit 9 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for Waterford Win sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Sligo Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Waterford Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Waterford have drawn six of their nine home fixtures at the Regional Sports Centre, proving tough to beat despite sitting bottom.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Sligo Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Waterford sit 9 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit.Visible data support
Positive
Waterford have drawn six of their nine home fixtures.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Waterford Win is the preferred angle because waterford have drawn six of their nine home fixtures at the Regional Sports Centre, proving tough to beat despite sitting bottom. Sligo Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Waterford Win angle more than a raw possession edge. That eight-point gap gives the visitors some breathing room, but not enough to start sipping tea with their feet up.

Main risk

That eight-point gap gives the visitors some breathing room, but not enough to start sipping tea with their feet up.

Key Data Signals

Waterford Win evidence

Waterford have drawn six of their nine home fixtures at the Regional Sports Centre, proving tough to beat.

Sligo Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Waterford Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Waterford sit 9 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Waterford Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Waterford4.2
    Avg corners for
    Sligo Rovers4.8
    Waterford8
    Avg total corners
    Sligo Rovers13
    Waterford3
    Avg yellow cards
    Sligo Rovers1.2
    Waterford12.6
    Avg shots
    Sligo Rovers9
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Waterford1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Sligo Rovers1
    Waterford2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Sligo Rovers1.8
    Waterford100%
    BTTS rate
    Sligo Rovers80%
    Waterford100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sligo Rovers60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 59% · edge +17.2 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 48% · edge -1.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Waterford to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Waterford

    DLWDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 5D 4L
    29 May 2026A Drogheda United3-3
    22 May 2026A Shelbourne1-2
    18 May 2026H Drogheda United2-1
    15 May 2026H Derry City2-2
    08 May 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-4

    Sligo Rovers

    LWLDD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    29 May 2026H Bohemians1-3
    22 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers2-1
    16 May 2026H Galway United1-4
    08 May 2026A Shelbourne0-0
    04 May 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-1
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 48% · edge -1.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Waterford wins
    1Draws
    6Sligo Rovers wins
    18 Apr 2026Sligo Rovers v Waterford2-0
    20 Feb 2026Waterford v Sligo Rovers0-0
    22 Aug 2025Waterford v Sligo Rovers1-2
    14 Jun 2025Sligo Rovers v Waterford1-0
    18 Apr 2025Waterford v Sligo Rovers0-4
    15 Feb 2025Sligo Rovers v Waterford2-3
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 48% · edge -1.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Waterford to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Waterford23
    Played
    Sligo Rovers23
    Waterford1.4
    Avg goals for
    Sligo Rovers0.8
    Waterford2
    Avg goals against
    Sligo Rovers1.6
    Waterford2
    Clean sheets
    Sligo Rovers5
    Market aligned with main pickWaterford to WinBetUK guide price · Model 46% vs implied 48% · edge -1.6 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Waterford Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Season data supports Waterford to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Waterford20234811-14
    10Sligo Rovers20235513-19
    Waterford sit in position 9, while Sligo Rovers sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Waterford Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Waterford Over 2.5
    60%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Waterford sit at 100% and Sligo Rovers sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Waterford v Sligo Rovers prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    related match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre