Football Stats Hub

St Patrick's Athl. crestSt Patrick's Athl.
v
Drogheda United crestDrogheda United

Premier Division | Fri 12 Jun, 19:45

St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United Stats

Data last updated: Thu 11 Jun 2026, 03:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier Division clash features St Patrick's Athl. hosting Drogheda United in a Friday evening fixture. Both teams have shown moderate recent form, each collecting 5 points in their last matches, but their attacking profiles differ. St Patrick's Athl. tends to generate more shots and corners, while Drogheda United has a higher rate of goals conceded and BTTS occurrences. The match promises a tactical battle with St Patrick's Athl. likely to press for territorial advantage, aiming to exploit Drogheda's defensive vulnerabilities and create set-piece opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • St Patrick's Athl. averages 5.2 corners per game, Drogheda United 3.0, supporting a high corner count.
  • Recent matches show a combined corner rate likely to exceed 8.5 in this fixture.
  • Both teams have attacking players who generate significant shot volume, increasing corner chances.
  • Drogheda United concedes more goals and allows more BTTS, indicating open play and more set-piece situations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 71.4% chance for Over 8.5 Corners, reflecting the attacking tendencies and defensive lapses of both sides. St Patrick's Athl.'s higher average corners per game combined with Drogheda United's vulnerability in defense suggest sustained pressure and frequent set-piece opportunities. The recent form data aligns with this, showing a pattern of matches with elevated corner counts. No price warning is present, making this a standard stake recommendation based on solid statistical backing.

St Patrick's Athl. avg corners5.2 per game
Strong positive
Drogheda United avg corners3.0 per game
Positive
Model chance for Over 8.5 Corners71.4%
Strong positive
Recent form corner trendsConsistent high corner matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained attacking pressure from St Patrick's Athl., who average over five corners per game and possess multiple players with high shot volumes. Drogheda United's defensive fragility and tendency to concede set pieces further support a high corner count. This tactical and statistical combination makes Over 8.5 Corners a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

The main risk is that Drogheda United may adopt a more defensive posture, limiting corner opportunities despite their usual concession rate.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“St Patrick's Athl.'s aggressive wing play and Drogheda United's defensive openness create a fertile ground for numerous corners. The attacking roles of Edmondson and Mata, combined with Drogheda's fouling tendencies, suggest a lively match with frequent set-piece action.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

St Patrick's Athl. Averages 5.2 corners per game, Drogheda United 3.0, supporting a high corner count.

Recent matches show a combined corner rate likely to exceed 8.5 in this fixture.

Both teams have attacking players who generate significant shot volume, increasing corner chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.6, indicating relatively low scoring but not necessarily low attacking activity.
  • The Over 2.5 Goals trend is less pronounced, but the tempo and attacking intent from St Patrick's Athl. suggest that corners will be a more reliable indicator of attacking pressure in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St Patrick's Athl.1
Avg goals scored
Drogheda United1.4
St Patrick's Athl.0.8
Avg goals conceded
Drogheda United1.6
St Patrick's Athl.40%
BTTS rate
Drogheda United80%
St Patrick's Athl.20%
Over 2.5 goals
Drogheda United60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
While both teams have modest goal-scoring rates, Drogheda United's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with St Patrick's Athl.'s 40%, suggesting Drogheda's matches often feature open play and goals at both ends. This openness can translate into more attacking phases and corners.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 69% · edge +2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
5
Check odds @ 5
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced without visible but the model's 71.4% probability indicates a strong likelihood of this outcome. The corner averages for both teams support this, making the market a sound choice without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

St Patrick's Athl.5.2
Avg corners for
Drogheda United3
St Patrick's Athl.10.8
Avg total corners
Drogheda United10
St Patrick's Athl.2
Avg yellow cards
Drogheda United2.8
St Patrick's Athl.13.8
Avg shots
Drogheda United8.4
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 69% · edge +2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
St Patrick's Athl. averages 13.8 shots per game with 3.8 on target, while Drogheda United averages 8.4 shots with 3.2 on target. The higher shot volume and attacking pressure from St Patrick's Athl. likely force Drogheda into defensive fouls and conceding corners. Both teams have moderate card averages, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St Patrick's Athl.

LDLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
29 May 2026A Shamrock Rovers0-1
22 May 2026A Derry City0-0
15 May 2026H Shelbourne0-1
08 May 2026H Waterford4-1
04 May 2026A Sligo Rovers1-1

Drogheda United

DDLLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
29 May 2026H Waterford3-3
22 May 2026H Dundalk1-1
18 May 2026A Waterford1-2
15 May 2026A Bohemians1-2
08 May 2026H Derry City1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 31% · edge +38.9 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
5
Check odds @ 5
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Recent form shows both teams earning 5 points, but St Patrick's Athl. has a lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) compared to Drogheda United's 60%. The corner data aligns with St Patrick's Athl.'s higher average corners, indicating their recent matches have featured sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities, supporting the Over 8.5 Corners pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5St Patrick's Athl. wins
5Draws
0Drogheda United wins
17 Apr 2026Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.1-3
13 Mar 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United4-1
22 Aug 2025Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.0-1
13 Jun 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United0-0
21 Apr 2025Drogheda United v St Patrick's Athl.0-0
14 Feb 2025St Patrick's Athl. v Drogheda United0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 10 previous meetings between these teams average 1.6 goals per game, indicating modest scoring but not necessarily limited attacking intent. While the goal count is moderate, the matches often feature sustained pressure and set-piece situations, which supports the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

St Patrick's Athl.19
Played
Drogheda United19
St Patrick's Athl.1.6
Avg goals for
Drogheda United1.3
St Patrick's Athl.0.9
Avg goals against
Drogheda United1.7
St Patrick's Athl.6
Clean sheets
Drogheda United6
Best odds for this sectionDrogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 20% · edge +30.4 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
9
Check odds @ 9
St Patrick's Athl. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
St Patrick's Athl. to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Season-long data reveals St Patrick's Athl. averages 5.2 corners per game, well above Drogheda United's 3.0. This disparity suggests St Patrick's Athl. consistently dominates territorial play and attacking phases, creating frequent corner chances. Drogheda's defensive record with 1.6 goals conceded per game further implies vulnerability to pressure and set pieces.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3St Patrick's Athl.321995514
8Drogheda United2119568-7
St Patrick's Athl. sits 3rd with 32 points, while Drogheda United is 8th with 21 points. The standings reflect St Patrick's Athl.'s stronger form and motivation to maintain their position, likely pushing for attacking control and increased corner counts. Drogheda United's lower rank may prompt a more defensive approach but also risk conceding corners under pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%St Patrick's Athl. Over 2.5
60%Drogheda United Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.6, indicating relatively low scoring but not necessarily low attacking activity. The Over 2.5 Goals trend is less pronounced, but the tempo and attacking intent from St Patrick's Athl. suggest that corners will be a more reliable indicator of attacking pressure in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Derry City v BohemiansPremier Division · Fri 12 Jun 19:45Waterford v Sligo RoversPremier Division · Fri 12 Jun 19:45Galway United v DundalkPremier Division · Fri 12 Jun 19:45Shelbourne v Shamrock RoversPremier Division · Fri 12 Jun 20:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre