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Sabah FA crestSabah FA
v
KuPS crestKuPS

UEFA Champions League | Tue 21 Jul, 17:00

Sabah FA v KuPS Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 11:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sabah FA face KuPS in UEFA Champions League on Tue 21 Jul, 17:00. Sabah FA come in with 6 recent points and 2 goals per match, while KuPS have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.25, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Sabah FA and 50% for KuPS, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with KuPS at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Sabah FA and 50% for KuPS show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Sabah FA and 50% for KuPS, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Sabah FA.Visible data support
Positive
Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with KuPS at 2. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Sabah FA are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with KuPS at 2.

BTTS rates of 50% for Sabah FA and 50% for KuPS show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sabah FA2
Avg goals scored
KuPS2
Sabah FA0.5
Avg goals conceded
KuPS1.5
Sabah FA50%
BTTS rate
KuPS50%
Sabah FA50%
Over 2.5 goals
KuPS50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sabah FA

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
14 Jul 2026A The New Saints2-1
07 Jul 2026H The New Saints2-0

KuPS

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
14 Jul 2026H Vardar Skopje2-3
07 Jul 2026A Vardar Skopje2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 85% vs implied 89% · edge -4.1 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
KuPS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sabah FA Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Sabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
KuPS to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
KuPS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sabah FA Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Sabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
KuPS to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sabah FA3
Avg corners for
KuPS-
Sabah FA6
Avg total corners
KuPS-
Sabah FA1
Avg yellow cards
KuPS-
Sabah FA12
Avg shots
KuPS-
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Sabah FA wins
0Draws
0KuPS wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Sabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
KuPS to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Sabah FA6
Played
KuPS4
Sabah FA2
Avg goals for
KuPS1
Sabah FA0.5
Avg goals against
KuPS1.5
Sabah FA4
Clean sheets
KuPS1
Best odds for this sectionKuPS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 33% · edge +8.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Sabah FA Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Sabah FA to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
KuPS to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season data supports KuPS Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Sabah FA Over 2.5
50%KuPS Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sabah FA sit at 50% and KuPS sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.