Football Stats Hub

Iraq crestIraq
v
Norway crestNorway

World Cup | Tue 16 Jun, 23:00

Iraq v Norway Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 04:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Iraq face Norway in World Cup on Tue 16 Jun, 23:00. Iraq face Norway at Boston Stadium on 17 June 2026 in a World Cup Group I opener that already feels loaded with tension.

BT4Y best bet

Kicks and the attacking movement to draw desperate challenges

  • At 11/2, Kicks and the attacking movement to draw desperate challenges implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Selection 1: Norway to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for Kicks and the attacking movement to draw desperate challenges sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Selection 1: Norway to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Strong positive
Selection 1: Norway to Win & Over 2.5 GoalsArticle support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because norway kept four clean sheets in eight qualifiers, while Iraq's low-scoring trend saw under 2.5 goals in their last three outings. That is true, but it is also incomplete.

Main risk

That is true, but it is also incomplete.

Key Data Signals

Kicks and the attacking movement to draw desperate challenges evidence

Norway kept four clean sheets in eight qualifiers, while Iraq's low-scoring trend saw under 2.

What To Watch In The Data

Kicks and the attacking movement to draw desperate challenges notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Iraq Over 2.5
-Norway Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Selection 1: Norway to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Iraq

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Iraq yet.

Norway

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Norway yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Iraq Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Iraq to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Iraq-
Avg goals scored
Norway-
Iraq-
Avg goals conceded
Norway-
Iraq-
BTTS rate
Norway-
Iraq-
Over 2.5 goals
Norway-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +12 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionIraq Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
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DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Iraq to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Iraq Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Iraq wins
0Draws
0Norway wins
Best odds for this sectionDrawBetMGM guide price · Model 28% vs implied 13% · edge +15 pts
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
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Iraq to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Draw, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

Iraq3
Played
Norway6
Iraq0.3
Avg goals for
Norway2.2
Iraq4
Avg goals against
Norway1.8
Iraq0
Clean sheets
Norway0
Best odds for this sectionIraq Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Iraq to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
Norway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Norway to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Season data supports Iraq Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Norway632011
4Iraq03003-11
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.