Football Stats Hub

Galway United crestGalway United
v
Dundalk crestDundalk

Premier Division | Fri 12 Jun, 19:45

Galway United v Dundalk Stats

Data last updated: Tue 07 Jul 2026, 18:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Galway United face Dundalk in Premier Division on Fri 12 Jun, 19:45. Galway United face Dundalk in League of Ireland Premier action on 12 June 2026, with survival pressure, away strength, defensive issues and attacking trends shaping a tense contest.

BT4Y best bet

To their 1-0 win over Sligo Rovers on 27 February

  • At 14/5, Galway United Win implies roughly 26%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Galway United just secured a 1-1 away draw against Shelbourne, emphasizing their resilient nature despite playing far from home.
  • Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United.
  • Dundalk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Galway United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Galway United sit 7 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for Galway United Win sits against roughly 26% implied by the current price. Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United. Galway United just secured a 1-1 away draw against Shelbourne, emphasizing their resilient nature despite playing far from home.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 26% implied
Neutral
Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Dundalk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Galway United just secured a 1-1 away draw.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Galway United Win is the preferred angle because galway United just secured a 1-1 away draw against Shelbourne, emphasizing their resilient nature despite playing far from home. Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United. However, John Caulfield’s side remain highly productive in front of goal, averaging that scoring level per game across their last ten outings.

Main risk

However, John Caulfield’s side remain highly productive in front of goal, averaging 1.8 goals per game across their last ten outings.

Key Data Signals

Galway United Win evidence

Galway United just secured a 1-1 away draw against Shelbourne, emphasizing their resilient nature despite playing far.

Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United.

Dundalk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Galway United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Galway United sit 7 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Galway United Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Galway United4.6
    Avg corners for
    Dundalk5.2
    Galway United10.4
    Avg total corners
    Dundalk10.2
    Galway United2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Dundalk2.6
    Galway United12.4
    Avg shots
    Dundalk14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Galway United1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Dundalk1.6
    Galway United2
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundalk1.6
    Galway United100%
    BTTS rate
    Dundalk80%
    Galway United60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundalk60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGalway United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 36% · edge -5.8 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Galway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Galway United to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Galway United

    DLWLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    29 May 2026A Shelbourne1-1
    22 May 2026H Bohemians2-4
    16 May 2026A Sligo Rovers4-1
    08 May 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-3
    04 May 2026A Derry City1-1

    Dundalk

    WDWLD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    29 May 2026H Derry City2-1
    22 May 2026A Drogheda United1-1
    15 May 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-0
    08 May 2026H Bohemians1-3
    04 May 2026A Waterford3-3
    Market aligned with main pickGalway United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 36% · edge -5.8 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Galway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 56%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Galway United wins
    2Draws
    1Dundalk wins
    17 Apr 2026Dundalk v Galway United2-1
    06 Mar 2026Galway United v Dundalk2-2
    04 Oct 2024Galway United v Dundalk1-1
    02 Aug 2024Dundalk v Galway United0-2
    24 May 2024Galway United v Dundalk2-0
    23 Feb 2024Dundalk v Galway United0-2
    Market aligned with main pickGalway United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 36% · edge -5.8 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Galway United to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Galway United22
    Played
    Dundalk23
    Galway United1.3
    Avg goals for
    Dundalk1.6
    Galway United1.7
    Avg goals against
    Dundalk1.5
    Galway United1
    Clean sheets
    Dundalk5
    Market aligned with main pickGalway United to WinBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 36% · edge -5.8 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Galway United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Season data supports Galway United to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Dundalk35239863
    7Galway United24226610-8
    Galway United sit in position 7, while Dundalk sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Galway United Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Galway United Over 2.5
    60%Dundalk Over 2.5
    2.71H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Galway United sit at 60% and Dundalk sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.71 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.